New polling in three battleground states that may determine the 2024 White House election show Vice President Harris ahead of former President Trump.
New polls coming out of three key battleground states indicate that Vice President Harris is ahead of former President Trump. According to polls released this weekend by Siena College for the New York Times, Harris tops Trump by four points - 50% to 46% - among likely voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Democrats quickly coalesced around Harris after Biden ended his re-election bid on July 21, amid growing calls from within his own party for the president to drop out of the race. In the three weeks since Biden's blockbuster announcement, a slew of national and key swing state polls have indicated it's a margin-of-error race between Harris and Trump.
According to the new surveys, in a multi-candidate field that also includes Democrat turned independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent Cornel West, Harris edges Trump by two-points in Pennsylvania and holds a five-point lead in Michigan and six points in Wisconsin. Kennedy, who earlier this year enjoyed support in the teens in some polling, registered in the mid-single digits in the new surveys.
In 2020, President Biden won back all three states with razor-thin margins as he defeated Trump, and the states remain extremely competitive in the 2024 presidential election. The New York Times Times/Siena College polls were conducted between Aug. 5-8 with 619 registered voters in Michigan and 661 in Wisconsin. The Pennsylvania survey was conducted between Aug. 6-9 with 693 registered voters. The sampling error for each survey was plus or minus 4.
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