The first undeniable climate change deaths

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In Japan, in 2018, more than 1 000 people died during an unprecedented heat wave. In 2019, scientists proved it would have been impossible without global warming.

due to the heat wave. The Tokyo Fire Department keeps records of the number of ambulances dispatched each day. Of the 10 days with the most dispatches in their history, the top seven occurred during the week from July 17 to July 23. On July 23, the last and hottest day of the heat wave, the fire department responded to 3 383 calls.

The summer of 2018 broke records, took lives, and shook the belief of many about what the future holds for Japan’s climate. But as Watanabe said, this was not unexpected. The trend had been heading this way for decades. A lot of swimmers bath in a pool at Toshimaen, an amusement facility in Nerima Ward, Tokyo on August 26, 2018. According to Japan Metrological Agency, the maximum temperature was 36 degrees Celsius in Tokyo on 26th. There are frequent extremely hot days above 35 degrees Celsius this summer in Japan, and many people visit the pool not only during the day but also at night.

As an undergraduate ecology student in the early 2010s, I often heard this line used to describe the tricky relationship between climate change and weather: We know climate change will make weather more extreme, but it is impossible to point to any one event and say, “That! That individual event was affected by climate change.” This temporary reality has melted into common wisdom.

The ability to answer that question long eluded scientists. But now, using attribution analysis, researchers like Imada can separate the signal of climate change from the noise of daily weather.

 

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