People are shown at a Médecins Sans Frontières camp for refugees fleeing violence in the northern Mozambique province of Cabo Delgado. File photo: SUPPLIED
The professionalism is in the phasing: first build an intelligence picture, follow up with special forces to develop it, and simultaneously deploy naval forces to interdict the insurgent’s maritime supply lines and the smuggling operations thought to provide part of the insurgency’s funding. Ansar al Sunnah is variously estimated at between 2,000 and 4,500 armed members, and has held Mocimboa da Praia since capturing it in August 2020. The Mozambique armed forces have not been able to recapture the town, nor to prevent other attacks since, most recently at Palma. They are too weak, poorly equipped and perhaps too poorly trained to be effective.
Worse still, in a province 290km north-south and 270km west-east with few and poor roads, mobility will be limited to roads and two “utility” helicopters. There is provision for one heavy, one medium and two light transport aircraft, but apart from the coastal towns the province has only three airfields, so their utility will be logistical, not operational or tactical.
The other challenge here is that the SA Navy is the only Sadc navy with ships operating organic helicopters — its four frigates and the combat support ship SAS Drakensberg. It does not seem likely that it would be able to sustain two of those ships on station for any length of time.
The only time you will see a quick response from SADC_News is when they are rushing to lick the boots of incumbent dictators after blatantly fraudulent elections!
Thanks keep us updated, this article is very thorough and insightful . I however hope aid will be provided as expected. Issue of delay might be the hidden forces involved.
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