Q&A: The geopolitical face of the conflict in Sudan and the various scenarios that could play out | News24

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With conflict that has already caused extensive damage to public infrastructure and loss of human lives taking different faces, News24 spoke to Alp Sevimlisoy, a geopolitical strategist and national security expert.

With ruin already under way, what's the best-case scenario to salvage whatever remains in the country? The best-case scenario in Sudan is for the majority of the leadership of the Armed Forces as well as the rank and file officer and enlisted men to recognise that a partnership with the United States and North Atlantic Treaty Organisation countries is the only course of action to ensure a situation where the rule of the victor is recognised multi-laterally.

Saudi Arabia sees Sudan as a fitting tribute to the ongoing war in Yemen to demonstrate Saudi Arabia's will to be seen as the broker to ally with in juxtaposition to rivals in the Persian Gulf and beyond. The kingmaker shall continue to be President El-Sisi who has brought stability and leadership, not just to Egypt but also to the region as a whole.

The Turkish Republic and Turkish Armed Forces which have been extremely successful across North Africa as per Libya and the Middle East, would also be an ideal partner as per its victories as a NATO partner and its identity as the regional powerhouse to cooperate with the US to provide both security to the labs and also help to provision vaccinations to the Sudanese populace.

It's in order to ensure that an agreement has been reached as to the overall governance going forward with regard to the country and subsequently this must be enshrined via a new constitution that encompasses all sides of the spectrum represented within the conflict.The military leadership have seen that they themselves are preferentially placed to maintain the structure of the state and bring stability to the people of Sudan.

 

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