As nations stumble towards collapse, there’s inevitably speculation about what the tipping point will be and when it will happen. In truth, there’s rarely a single event that can be foreseen and, if not circumvented, will trigger the final implosion. Rather, there are a series of cumulatively critical moments that, unfortunately, are often most clearly discernible in the cracked rear-view mirror only after the crash has occurred.
In South Africa, one of the most worrying potential tipping points for the ordinary citizen is the to-the-bone erosion of law and order. At a white-collar crime level, it can be seen in the looting of state assets to the tune, by government estimates, of R1 trillion. At a criminal violence level, it can be seen not only in some of the worst murder, rape and assault markers in the world, but also by a sense of growing public anarchy.
Public violence is approaching levels last seen in the political uprisings of the mid-1980s. Then, it was brought under tenuous control by the National Party government unleashing its own massive, retaliatory violence.
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