More stats show the third wave of Covid-19 is starting to engulf SA

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South Africa Headlines News

Having gone as low as 0.5 at the beginning of February, SA's latest Covid-19 reproduction number is now 1.33.

The latest R numbers for SA and each of its provinces, based on new confirmed infections up to May 29 2021. These are median values, with 95% confidence intervals indicated in brackets.This means every infected person passes on the virus to 1.33 people, and the rising number is another sign of the third wave of the local epidemic.

The figure of 1.33 is based on new cases, but R is also calculated using data on hospital admissions and deaths in hospital. The third wave of Covid-19 is under way in Free State, the Northern Cape and North West, and new infections are accelerating rapidly in Gauteng, but the NICD analysis says the Eastern Cape has the highest reproduction number, 1.51.

Just over three-quarters of the excess deaths have occurred in the 60-plus age group, which is being prioritised in the vaccination rollout that began in mid-May.

 

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