Mid-January market report

US stocks were the global outperformers in 2021 as huge amounts of stimulus pushed the major indexes to all-time highs.

Mauroforlin, Moneyweb

2022-01-17 08:05:00 PM

[ADVISOR VIEW] The Fed always maintained that the labour market would need to be at full employment for them to raise rates & with recent data indicating that this condition is nearly met. MauroForlin - Global & Local Asset Management Moneyweb Markets

US stocks were the global outperformers in 2021 as huge amounts of stimulus pushed the major indexes to all-time highs.

The renewed optimism came amid reports that scientists at Pfizer and Moderna have taken steps towards developing a universal flu jab which could be more powerful and longer lasting than the current vaccines available. This sparked renewed interest in risky assets and pushed the MSCI All Country World Index up 3.9% in December. Developed markets outperformed their emerging counterparts as the MSCI World Index printed 4.2% compared with 1.6% from the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

Markets have since erased some of these gains when minutes from the Federal Reserve’s meeting released early in January pointed to a more hawkish tone than expected. As such, the MSCI All Country World Index has lost 1.8% YTD.The increased speed of bond tapering and the hawkish tone from the Fed has caused bond yields to rise as investors brace for interest rate hikes amid persistently high inflation. As such, the US 10-year and 2-year bond yields have both hit 52-week highs of 1.808% and 0.915% respectively. With Wednesday’s inflation reading coming in at 7.0% – the highest figure in nearly 40 years – the question is no longer will the Fed hike but rather how many times?

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