A few weeks ago President Cyril Ramaphosa effectively ended SA’s lockdown. Tanzanian President John Magufuli didn’t impose one in the first place. They both came to the same conclusion: lockdowns are a losing strategy to contain the coronavirus.
In figures updated to November 11, there were 184 Covid-19 infections in View Park, and three deaths attributed to those infections. The predominantly white communities of Beverly Hills and Bel Air, with an economic profile similar to View Park, had 816 and 112 reported infections respectively. The number of deaths was similarly low; Beverly Hills had 12 and Bel Air none.
Beverly Hills is about a third of the size of Compton, which has almost six times the number of infections and nearly seven times the number of deaths. In trying to understand the recent surge in infection and mortality rates, maybe a good place to start looking is at income disparities and the loss of incomes as a result of the lockdown, rather than simply looking at factors such as race. I would suggest the same for the rest of California, elsewhere in the US and Africa.
When we look at data on Covid-19 infection and mortality rates, what we find is that the well-to-do are not physically immune to the virus, but they are more likely to be immune to the lockdown. Hunger aside, if you don’t have a job, how do you pay the rent and keep a roof over your head and that of your family? If being hungry didn’t stress you out enough, how about adding the thought of being homeless? When the infection rates are disaggregated based on income and employment data, what we find is that the surge is more likely than not a reflection of policies that have starved and stressed out the poor and working class.
Lockdowns were never touted as an ideal solution but as a way to get numbers under control when other measures fail. If we get everyone masking, distancing, etc. that takes away the need for a lockdown.
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