Inflation will take up to two years to return to target, says Fed’s Mester

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Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester is not predicting a recession despite slowing growth

Washington — Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank president Loretta Mester said it will take two years for inflation to fall to the central bank’s 2% target, adding that it will be"moving down" gradually from the current level.

A surge in inflation, which is at its highest level in 40 years, has made hawks of nearly all Fed policymakers, only one of whom dissented last week against what was the central bank’s biggest rate increase in more than a quarter of a century. "It isn’t going to be immediate that we see 2% inflation. It will take a couple of years, but it will be moving down," Mester said in an interview with CBS News on Sunday."We do have growth slowing to a little bit below trend growth and we do have the unemployment rate moving up a little bit.

Policymakers expect to raise the Fed’s benchmark overnight interest rate, now in a range of 1.50%-1.75%, to at least 3.4% in the next six months. A year ago, the majority thought the rate would need to stay near zero until 2023.

 

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