Govt relying on several models to track SA’s COVID-19 outbreak, says Mkhize
Experts in the country are projecting that the Western Cape could run out of ICU beds by the end of next month if the pandemic continued on its current trajectory.The specialists, also referred to as “COVID-19 modelers”, held a virtual conference earlier on Thursday. They projected that up to three million South Africans could contract the virus over the next few months.
Mkhize said that the projections would keep improving as real data was fed into the models.“I don’t think there’s a model that was upfront able to predict what happened in the Western Cape. The one model that I saw predicted that it was going to be Gauteng that was going to be exploding first [with infections] and then followed by KZN,” Mkhize said.
“If you follow that [model], the reason for that - although I can’t recall what the reasons were – it was clear that there are similarities between these two [models],” he added.As of Wednesday, there were just over 18,000 known cases of which 339 people had died, including a two-day-old infant.
The Western Cape still accounts for the greatest number of infections followed by Gauteng.WATCH: COVID-19 Situation Desk - 21 May 2020 AM Read more: Eyewitness News »
Doubtful they have a proper model, hence the request 4 public to submit models to them. Then can then lay blame squarely on external parties when the kitchen gets too hot! Our learned public constantly have to teach them how to do their jobs, in every sphere .. JustAdmitDefeat
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