A commuter wears a mask under public safety signage as cases of the infectious coronavirus Delta variant continue to rise in New York City, New York, US, on July 26, 2021. Picture: REUTERS/ANDREW KELLYUS President Joe Biden declared the US close to independence from the virus. Britons hit the dance floor to celebrate “Freedom Day”. Singapore’s legendarily strict government signalled it would begin to loosen its zero-cases approach and make life and travel more manageable.
At its current pace of vaccination, 75% of the EU population will be inoculated within two months, a level that may be sufficient to push back the virus. China and the UK are running at a similar pace, according to the Bloomberg vaccine tracker. “It is creating a two-speed recovery process,” World Bank president David Malpass told reporters on July 15.
There is a danger this year’s V-shaped rebound mutates into a W shape, where growth lurches lower again before recovering, said Warwick McKibbin, a professor of economics at the Australian National University. Governments are running the biggest deficits since the World War 2 and have provided more liquidity in the past year alone than the previous decade combined — limiting their options to prop up economies further, McKibbin said.
Those conditions are “a toxic cocktail for disaster”, said Joanne Liu, professor of global health at Montreal’s McGill University and former international president of Medecins Sans Frontieres. In the US, vaccinations slowed to a crawl just as the Delta variant began circulating. While the rate of deaths has not yet followed the spike in cases, hospitals in less-vaccinated American regions are filling up with Covid-19 patients again.
Hotspots could emerge in parts of the US and in other places with patchy coverage. But there are worries that even in well-vaccinated areas, risk will remain. Anthony Fauci, the US government’s top infectious disease doctor, said on Sunday that booster shots may be necessary to protect some people such as the elderly or those with compromised immune systems.
Yet the border is sealed to outsiders and citizens cannot return without serving a long quarantine. Despite widespread vaccination, it continues to deploy aggressive measures whenever virus flare-ups occur, from locking down housing compounds to mandatory mass testing of entire city populations. The efficacy of its vaccines has also been questioned after other places that have relied on them including Mongolia and the United Arab Emirates have seen new infection surges.
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South Africa is now on track to get a high rate of vaccination by year end. As long as anti-vax ideologues don’t derail the roll out. Or corrupt tenderpreneurs.
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