Central Bank of Erdogan makes Turkey a tougher sell to foreign investors

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Investor flight drives lira down 15%, adding to losses that have kept inflation in double digits

A logo of Turkey's Central Bank is pictured at the entrance of the bank's headquarters in Ankara, Turkey. REUTERS/UMIT BEKTASWith President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s sacking of his third central bank governor in less than two years, Turkey’s dominant political leader of the past century has demonstrated yet again his determination to fight the conventions of modern economics.

The abrupt move at the central bank wrong-footed lira bulls who had come to believe in Erdogan’s apparent switch to mainstream economic policies in November, when he installed Agbal and appeared to cede to economic choices needed to contain spiralling prices that were eating into his popularity. State lenders did not appear to be defending a specific lira level as they did for much of the past two years when they were selling Turkey’s foreign FX reserves, the traders said, asking not to be identified, in line with their companies’ regulations.

The approach under finance minister Berat Albayrak, Erdogan’s son-in-law who resigned from that position in November, was to use foreign reserves to prop up the lira. Goldman Sachs estimated that policy cost Turkey more than $100bn in lost assets, leaving little ammunition to defend the currency now.

 

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