Which Americans are against the jab?

A FOURTH WAVE of covid-19 infections is washing across America. It is strongest in the heartland and southern states: cases per 100,000 people are highest in Louisiana, Florida and Arkansas; Missouri has the highest hospitalisations. But the rapidly spreading Delta variant threatens other places, too.

According to our modelling, the single greatest predictor of whether an American has been vaccinated is whether they voted for Joe Biden or Donald Trump last November. Relative to the profile for the average American—a white, 49-year-old female with some college education who earns a middle-class income, lives in a Midwestern suburb and did not vote in 2020—the impact of voting for Mr Trump is a 13 percentage-point reduction in the probability of being vaccinated.

But many other factors also matter. African-Americans were disproportionately less likely than other racial and ethnic groups to receive their shots; Hispanics and Hindus were more likely to do so. Geographical factors mostly cut along expected lines: people in blue-state cities were likelier to get a vaccine, those in rural, redder regions were disproportionately hesitant.

Prominent conservative television hosts, such as Fox News’s Sean Hannity, made a spectacle of endorsing the covid-19 vaccine last week. Yet according to YouGov’s most recent poll, conducted on July 24th-27th, the share of Republican adults who say they will not get the jab has held steady at 30%. The phase of the pandemic when Americans would listen to such messages might well be over. After all, they have been seeing ads about jabs for months.

Damn DeSantis

🇺🇸 COVID19 VACCINATION UPDATE 🗓️ August 3, 2021 | 5:11 PM EST 🇺🇸 165,081,416 Americans FULLY Vaccinated 🥇 Fully Vaccinated = 49.7% of U.S. Population 🇺🇸 192,120,576 Americans with One Vaccine Dose 🥈 One Dose = 57.9% U.S. Population 🖥️ | CDCgov

African-Americans are disproportionately more likely to make an NBA roster.

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