By Jason Zweig Close Jason Zweig Jan. 8, 2021 11:00 am ET For decades I’ve warned investors about the folly of short-term market forecasting, but that doesn’t mean we can’t know anything about the year to come. In fact, we can already predict a few things about 2021 with a high degree of confidence.
Newsletter Sign-up The Intelligent Investor Jason Zweig writes about investment strategy and how to think about money.So it was in early 2000, after technology stocks gained more than 80% the year before. And so it is now, with venture capitalists and speculators boasting about the megabucks they’ve been making on tech stocks and cryptocurrencies.
• options trading, which is often a slaughterhouse for individual investors but is a burgeoning profit center for brokerage firms;• China, whose stock market was up about 30% last year, and whose economy looks likely to keep bouncing back faster than those of other major countries; It takes determination to resist the easy temptation of chasing whatever has been hot, especially after a year in which 150 stocks at least tripled in market value—far more than the total for small, medium and large stocks combined in any year over the past decade, according to GMO, an investment-management firm in Boston.
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