Wells Fargo sees end-of-year U.S. recession, cuts GDP view

5/19/2022 12:25:00 AM

Wells Fargo sees end-of-year U.S. recession, cuts GDP view

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Wells Fargo sees end-of-year U.S. recession, cuts GDP view

Wells Fargo Investment Institute said on Wednesday it reduced its economic expectations with a mild U.S. recession now on the horizon in its base case scenario for the end of 2022 and early 2023, making it one of the more bearish big U.S. banks.

Bank of America Corpmost recently said it sees recession risks as "low for now but elevated for 2023."Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.comRegisterWells Fargo's research arm also cut its year-end 2022 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth target to 1.5% from 2.2% and cut its year-end 2023 target to a decline of 0.5% from its previous expectation for GDP growth of 0.4%.

It forecast a peak-to-trough contraction of 1.3% for three quarters. This would compare with the pandemic-induced 10% contraction in 2020, the 3.8% fall in the 2008-2009 financial crisis and the 0.1% dip in 2001 and the 1.4% drop in 1990/1991.While a first-quarter 2022 economic contraction was due primarily to strong imports and inventory changes, Wells Fargo noted that "consumer activity has weakened since then."

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Opinion | The Economy Is Weird. Two Experts on Where It Goes From Here.“I think that there are still forces at work in the economy that will bring inflation back down,” petercoy tells janecoaston, “and people can all kind of breathe a sigh of relief.” petercoy janecoaston One of the causes of high inflation is a hot economy, so a recession would certainly fix inflation. However, is that what we want? Isn’t it just smarter to figure out how to manage business with high inflation, while preserving those jobs that are being paid better than ever? janecoaston petercoy If we want to slow consumer spending, instead of taxing, why not expand and incentivize consumer saving into retirement and other accounts with early withdrawal penalties? Lowers consumer spending with rates low so companies can invest in capacity better than a recession, right?

National homebuilder confidence drops to 2-year lowFor the fifth straight month, national homebuilder confidence fell, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Utah gets around this confidence because all that gets built are townhomes, condos and apartments. 🙄

latest research shows a 25% probability for a recession starting in the next 12 months.Since then, the Wells Fargo Center introduced a new scoreboard, a redesign of the main concourse, a bigger event level club, and additional upgrades.Reuters 1 minute read The Toyota logo is pictured at the 38th Bangkok International Motor Show in Bangkok, Thailand March 28, 2017.Jo Brand, who spent a large part of her formative years in Kent before going onto her life of fame.

Bank of America Corp most recently said it sees recession risks as "low for now but elevated for 2023." Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters. Shift4 works with more than 100 sporting venues and stadiums across the country, including T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, the United Center in Chicago, and Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco.com Register Wells Fargo's research arm also cut its year-end 2022 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth target to 1.T) is using well water at its factories to avoid the impact of an industrial water supply disruption in central Japan, a spokesperson said on Wednesday.5% from 2. “Our end-to-end commerce solution simplifies venue operations, reduces costs, and improves the overall fan experience.2% and cut its year-end 2023 target to a decline of 0. Before becoming a mental health nurse she worked for Barnardo's, as well as a cleaner and bar staff at the Grape Vine wine bar on Calverley Road, and the Duke Of York pub on the Pantiles.

5% from its previous expectation for GDP growth of 0. Published. Japan's largest automaker will be able to operate as usual for Wednesday and will continue to monitor the situation after that, the spokesperson said.4%. It forecast a peak-to-trough contraction of 1.3% for three quarters.m. This would compare with the pandemic-induced 10% contraction in 2020, the 3. It is very nice to be back.

8% fall in the 2008-2009 financial crisis and the 0.1% dip in 2001 and the 1.m.4% drop in 1990/1991. While a first-quarter 2022 economic contraction was due primarily to strong imports and inventory changes, Wells Fargo noted that "consumer activity has weakened since then." It cited the development of all three major risks identified in its December 2021 outlook including new COVID-19 outbreaks and restrictions, higher-for-longer inflation and a much stronger dollar. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters. The only word I got wrong was portmanteau, I put an 'o' on the end instead of an 'eau', and so from that point onward I always knew what that word meant.

It said these issues were due to the Russia-Ukraine war and aggressive Federal Reserve policy. "These shocks are taking an economic toll," it said. For its more bearish call it cited a loss of momentum in sentiment among manufacturers and service providers, the University of Michigan's March consumer sentiment reading - its lowest since 2011 - as well as broad-based declines in consumer activity and a series of "sharply weak high-frequency economic data from mid-April to mid-May. Sign up. The firm also cut its S&P 500 target for year-end 2022 to a range of 4,200-4,400 from a range of 4,500-4,700 but kept its 2022 EPS estimate at $220 for S&P 500 companies. On Wednesday afternoon the S&P 500 was trading down 3. Clearly, talent seems to run in the family.

1% at 3,961.8. The firm also raised its forecast for U.S. unemployment in 2022 to 3.

8% from its previous forecast of 3.4% and boosted its 2023 unemployment forecast to 4.4% from its earlier projection of 4%. But it kept its 2022 year-end Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation estimate at 7.7%.

In the same research note Wells upgraded its utilities sector .