UK risks twice-as-big second COVID wave without better testing, study finds

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Britain faces a second wave of COVID-19 this winter twice as widespread as the initial outbreak if it reopens schools without a more effective test-and-trace system in place, according to a recent study

FILE PHOTO: A view of a COVID-19 testing station manned by British military personnel inside London's Hyde Park, Britain, May 8, 2020. REUTERS/ Alexander Smith

They concluded a second wave could be prevented if 75% of those with symptoms were found and tested and 68% of their contacts were traced, or if 87% of people with symptoms were found and 40% of their contacts tested. “Our modelling results suggest that full school reopening in September 2020 without an effective test-trace-isolate strategy would result in R rising above 1 and a resulting second wave of infections that would peak in December 2020 and be 2.0-2·3 times the size of the original COVID-19 wave.”

Panovska-Griffiths, lecturer in mathematical modelling at University College London, told BBC radio that the worst scenarios could still be avoided.

 

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Nevermind second wave, we're not even through the first wave yet!

Why tempt fate. Why open now only to close it when things take a turn for the worse.

Yes. Greaaaat wave😂😂

Nobody can forecast the future but Reuters already knows that covid-19 widespread is twice as big. It appears to me as wishful thinking.

No Reuters, England faces a second wave Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland are doing ok in this situation

Looks like the assumptions behind this modelling have already been debunked. Scaremongering.

Britain faces a second wave of COVID-19 this winter twice as widespread as the initial outbreak because people won’t wear masks, give their contact details, social distance or behave responsibly. Fixed it for you.

😰😩

BorisJohnson is quite proud of his government response.

I wonder if Johnson & co. Have there listening ears on ?

......the normal flu season.

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