ByA tropical cyclone has developed and is expected to intensify in the Arabian Sea this weekend.
The future Tauktae is expected to track toward the north-northwest, generally parallel to the coast of western India, this weekend.For now, the majority of forecast model tracks suggest the center may stay just far enough off the coasts of Kerala, Karnataka, Goa and Maharashtra states to spare the most severe impacts. But a few forecast model tracks keep Tauktae closer to the coast, if not an outright landfall.
It's still too soon to determine if Tauktae will strike one or both of those areas, but it could reach as far north as Pakistan's most populous city, Karachi, and be the strongest in these areas since a May 1999 cyclone made landfall near the India-Pakistan border.Even if Tauktae's center remains appreciably off western India's coast this weekend, bands of heavy rain are likely to wrap into southwest India, leading to a threat of rainfall flooding.
Put the cows in the barn.
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