Tony Awards Predictions: Breaking Down the Likely 2021 Winners

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From MoulinRouge to SlavePlay, these are Variety's predictions for the big winners at the Tonys.

in October 2020 and voting completed in March, a year or more since any voter saw any of the shows. There is, too, the lingering cloud of ambivalence around awards shows in general in the midst of a still-ongoing pandemic .

Nonetheless, Tony voters voted — and even if some of them have forgotten who they voted for, prognostications can be made. Based on an entirely unscientific tabulation of voter preferences, industry buzz and gut instinct , here are 11 predictions for Sunday’s Tony Awards:In a race that also includes Tina Turner bio “Tina” and Alanis Morissette musical “Jagged Little Pill,” the over-the-top, lavishly designed “Moulin Rouge!” seems to have taken the lead with voters.

has wanted to hand Warren a trophy since she took her first bow for her powerhouse performance in the title role of “Tina.” On Sunday she’ll pick up her trophy at last.Look, it’s technically possible for “Moulin Rouge!” star Tveit, the sole nominee for lead actor in a musical, to lose this award. But based on the voters surveyed, he has nothing to worry about. And, honestly, if he does somehow fall short, that will be the night’s biggest upset.

 

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