The S&P 500 will gain almost nothing in the next decade, Stifel predicts

Stock investors may be looking at weak returns over the next decade, according to Stifel market strategist Barry Bannister. That's because the secular bear market that started in the 2020s is likely to persist. "Near-term trades aside, in recent years we have forecast that the S & P 500 is likely to be broadly range-bound in the decade 2021 to 2031E," Bannister wrote in a January 9 note.

Stifel's forecast is that the S & P 500 will reach 4,300 in the first half of 2023, but the investment bank sees the index falling if crude oil rises sharply. One other data point supports modest to no returns in the S & P 500 over the next decade. The S & P 500 relative to commodities fell below its 122-year trend, which usually signals flat returns in the next ten years.

Bottom up, middle out is opposite of the profit model economy of the last 42 years.

I'll take that bet

Really, says a 70% fixed income firm. Groundbreaking! 😂😂

Another lost decade. Dividends are your growth if true.

😹 Who is this guy

That is worse than 2000-1 internet bubble burst. Nasdaq took 10yrs but S&P didn't. If S&P sell off is that extreme, we are in for a world of (more) pain. That is extremely bearish; even more bearish than I am!

Another scammmer. Kick him out. If he is so clever, so he is 100% in inverse SDS ETF for SP500 ?

This is why he works at stifel

Dividend stocks it is

Stifel's 'stock' will tumble a lot more than the S&P for saying such nonsense. 😂

How can that even be a thing? 10 year predictions?

ouch. Why? Might be cuz the Federal Reserve ain't gonna help ya'll out eh? lol

While I reluctantly agree, there's a reason why

OldTakesExposed

No one has a crystal ball

Such a pointless prediction

Stifel is like the fed - both dont understand markets 🚀

You have to be pretty thick to even believe the current levels in the markets (which are still higher than pre-Covid levels) are cheap. Get a grip. Forget the next decade and wait for the carnage which is coming.

I’m sure Cramer concurs

Don’t believe anyone who claims she/he can predict a complex system 10 years ahead.

This a great news for everyone relying on a 401k. And with the republicans slashing SS and Medicare, I’ll be homeless and dead in no time!

Average S&P 500 annual return is about 10%. I know that Biden has driven the US way down with his BBB polices but he will be replaced in two years and the US should see a good come back.

lol ok

This is bullshit

It will more than double

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