The pandemic’s true death toll: millions more than official counts

’s algorithm has a wide uncertainty interval of between 1 million and 7.5 million deaths for India.For China, the model estimates almost 750,000 deaths , but with a wide uncertainty interval ranging from as low as 200,000 fewer deaths than expected, to as high as 1.9 million excess deaths.’s model highlights how countries’ official death counts often underestimate the true number — but that the extent of the underestimate varies.

. “You don’t learn anything by training a model on mostly rich countries with high life expectancy and applying it to poor countries with low life expectancy.” Some demographers see Shotwell’s point of view, saying that applying modelling to countries without their own deaths data is inherently difficult. “The process is intrinsically flawed. The data are a real mess and so any modelling effort is going to be very speculative,” says Jon Wakefield, a statistician at the University of Washington in Seattle, who leads a modelling project run by the WHO to estimate the pandemic’s excess death toll. “It’s very frustrating as the data are so limited.

sapphire_solace Almost half of the world may be gone forever

The global toll of suffering from covid restrictions far exceeds that the V2 virus. Restrictions have only protracted the pandemic, not thwarted the virus.

The most deadly pandemic in US, Abortion 2017 =862,000 US goes crazy with covid deaths =650,000 You know who else spread fake news? Adolf Hitler “tell a big enough lie and tell it frequently enough, it will be believed.”

Jerry Coyne is a major biologist that has greatly promoted some of the most dangerous antivaxxers into the positions they have now. Bravo to Nature for seeing through him and helping save many (including the elderly and disabled). Do not give him or his buddies a ligit platform.

That may very likely the true count of India only.

Wrong.

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