The Democrats Have An Ambitious Agenda. Here’s What They Should Learn From Obamacare.

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Lesson 1: To stop high-profile laws from becoming unpopular, it helps to keep them simple. More, via FiveThirtyEight:

that has also found little evidence of opinions shifting in response to messaging. This holds true even among groups for whom the messaging is targeted . Rather, the key to successful legislation seems to hinge on how the policy is designed, not how it is discussed.

And that makes some sense, as the central goal of legislating is to shape policy, not public opinion. But this is not to say the two aren’t closely related. After all, the ACA’s initial unpopularity undermined the Democrats’ ability to defend it, leaving the law politically vulnerable for years. It also had very real electoral consequences when Democrats lost the House in 2010.

Dan Hopkins is a professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania, and his research focuses on American elections and public opinion.

 

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