This remains, however, the most stable presidential race in recent history, with Trump never coming close to surpassing Biden. Trump is still trailing in the three states he flipped to propel himself to victory in 2016—Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—and still has big problems in Arizona and North Carolina. If he loses Florida, Iowa, or Georgia—all where he’s narrowly trailing—he’s not going to win the election.
With each day that Trump doesn’t substantially narrow his battleground deficits, his prospects dim. Fifty-two million people, as of this writing,That’s about a third of the total projected in a high-turnout scenario. And have little doubt: It’s going to be a high-turnout scenario. More than six million Texans had already voted as of Friday. That’s 71 percent of Texas’ total 2016 turnout.
It was close until Biden trashed the oil industry. He was never up for the job anyway. Still, a really idiotic thing to say with just a week until election.
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