Russian Tanks Outnumber Ukrainian Tanks—But That Might Not Matter In Wartime

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Considering what the Russians must do to win a full-scale war in Ukraine—and what the Ukrainians must do to prevent the Russians from winning—it’s not at all clear that 1,200 deployed tanks is enough for the Russians, and that 900 active tanks is inadequate for the Ukrainians.

For Ukraine’s armored battalions, defending key terrain between Russia’s tanks and Ukraine’s cities, this means two things. Front-line battalions must “have means of obscuring their positions,” Grau and Bartles wrote. In other words, they must dig in..

“The maneuver force has means to prevent attacks in the threatened area in order to prevent an enemy breakthrough on the axis of the main attack, eliminating the threat of being flanked and exploiting an enemy flank or boundary,” according to Grau and Bartles. Kiev’s army has lots of ways, besides tanks, to kill other tanks—namely, anti-tank missiles. And Russia’s tanks must roll across open ground in order to root out and corral Ukraine’s dug-in forces, surely resulting in high casualties on the attack.

The battle would prove to be one of the last before the war in Donbas froze along the trenches. And it ended in defeat for Kiev when a Ukrainian tank column, rolling toward the airport to reinforce the battered defenders, turned around.

 

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