I’m probably more cynical than your uncle, and more skeptical than your crazy cousin. But even I can’t see what isn’t there—no matter how much I might expect to.There seems to be a campaign under way to scare the heck out of people about rising prices, fueled by the lockdowns and the latest data. Maybe it just makes for compelling headlines.
The key inflation figure I watch is not the Producer Price Index, the CPI -U, the CPI-W, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, let alone such political numbers as a “core” CPI figure that excludes food and energy prices. Instead I just watch the bond market’s forecasts.The bond market isn’t perfect, but its forecasts are probably the best we have.
Few people willingly lose billions of dollars making a wrong bet. Few people willingly pass up the opportunity to make billions of dollars, either. So if the bond market’s predictions are wrong, nobody yet knows it. Interestingly, these forecasts have been coming down in recent weeks, even while the headline writers have been fretting about inflation.
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It means YOU ARE SCREWED thanks to FED !!! Michael Burry Warns Retail Traders About the 'Mother of All Crashes'
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