Opinion | The Art of Coronavirus Modeling

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From WSJopinion: Conditions in most of the country are less dire than early models predicted, and public-health experts will have to study the reasons to help the country emerge from this economically destructive shutdown

Modeling the course of the coronavirus pandemic may still be as much art as science as projections are shifting as more information becomes available. The good news is that conditions in most of the country are less dire than early models predicted, and public-health experts will have to study the reasons to help the country emerge from this economically destructive shutdown.

The so-called Murray model by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation on Tuesday projected 81,766 fatalities over...

 

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opinion It's not a light switch in the tri-state area.

opinion The reason is simple! Unless a model has been validated and verified, it’s nothing more than an inaccurate guess

opinion Oops. 6 trillion later 🙄

opinion WuhanVirus is tracking as a port of entry disease. realDonaldTrump keeping the response local has allowed a concentration of resources where they were needed.

opinion Models are as good as the data people input. Perhaps, if numbers are inflated things “won’t look so bad” after all. On the other side, if numbers are underestimated so that we can “ re-open” sooner, we might be looking at a grand shit show later on! Time will tell!

opinion This insanity must end! Reports around the world are showing the devastating impact of these draconian measures on other public health issues and skyrocketing domestic violence incidences.

opinion 765 people died yesterday here in New York State and you guys are tut-tutting the folks behind early models (which by the way IT IS STILL EARLY. The spanish flu was at its peak for six months and we probably haven’t even peaked yet) real grade-a journalism right there

opinion Study it like Dr Fauci, with double blind tests and control subjects and we will have an answer sometime in 2021? That kind of study?

opinion Fixed: 'study the reasons to help the country emerge from this economically destructive FEDERAL RESPONSE'

opinion Buy a cheap stocks Wait for the infection to end

opinion یعنی اس کی نحوست سے کتنے متاثر ھیں۔

opinion And we must be reminded of the many deaths from all other areas such as opioids, seasonal flu, heart disease, obesity, diabetes, from unhealthy eating, car accidents, and more

opinion over 10,000 people have died, isn't dire enough

opinion You blame Trump for how terrible things are look at the job he did. 2.2 million in projected death now estimates are 60k. He saved 2,140,000 lives. 🤷🏽‍♂️

opinion Just wait.

opinion So you would have preferred 1 million deaths? This isn't over. We will likely have many more deaths until a vaccine is discovered.

opinion Models Garbage in Garbage out Why I don't have health insurance and why I don't go to doctor

opinion You think!!!

opinion Because what we DID and ARE DOING worked!

opinion Why are you posting this? Very irresponsible of WSJ.

opinion Explain this!!!

opinion People social distanced and sheltered in place early on. That flattened the curve.

opinion Let's be clear. Even at the current number of deaths, this country's response (at the federal level) was a joke and abysmal. I don't want to see any crap from WSJ excusing tens of thousands of death because they aren't hundreds of thousands.

opinion This is irresponsible. Thousands are dead and thousands more will for. Money isn't much good if you are dead.

opinion

opinion POR 'ENVIDIA' TRUMP QUIERE MATAR A MADURO,CORONAVIRUS USA PAÍS 'CAPITALISTA' 12 MIL MUERTES,VENEZUELA PAÍS SOCIALISTA 7 MUERTES BY 'ENVY' TRUMP WANTS TO KILL MATURE, CORONAVIRUS USA COUNTRY 'CAPITALIST' 12 THOUSAND DEATHS, VENEZUELA SOCIALIST COUNTRY 7 DEATHS

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