About all you can go on now is water temperature and, sometimes, the forecast for La Nina/El Nino. Saying that, a group out of England called Tropical Storm Risk issued their first 2023 hurricane forecast last December, and below you’ll see they are calling for a fairly average season citing stronger trade winds last summer and noting that historically a year that follows three La Nina seasons usually comes in about average.
By the way, yesterday was National Weatherperson’s Day! So a belated salute to all my weather colleagues both professional and hobbyists! Feb. 5 is the birthday of the ‘father of weather’ John Jeffries and I blogged about him a couple of years ago
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