, released in May, which called for a 60 percent likelihood of an above-average season, with a 70 percent chance of 13 to 19 named storms, six to 10 of which would become hurricanes. Three to six of those could become major hurricanes of Category 3 intensity or higher, NOAA predicted.
Now the chance of an above-average season has increased to 85 percent, with just a five percent chance of it being below average. An average season produces 12 named storms, including six hurricanes, of which three become major hurricanes., which also projects so many storms that by the end of the season names would have to be pulled from the Greek alphabet to keep track of them all.
Driving the forecast is a series of factors that point to an unusually active season. These include widespread above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, particularly in the so-called main development region between West Africa and the Leeward Islands, where many storms form. In addition, there are above-average temperatures in the Caribbean Sea, and sea surface temperatures are also running well above average off the East Coast and in the Gulf of Mexico.
& you & cast of ' SNL' CAN GO BACK IN FORTH SOMETIMES JUST FOR A YEAR
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