if you were told there was a one in 4,000 chance of it raining tomorrow then you probably wouldn't bother with your umbrella. However, it's important to remember that these odds relate to the very specific question:"What is the probability of there being 12 consecutive girls born inThere's nothing special about this town in Poland—it would still have been international news if the same thing had happened in a village in Lithuania or Hungary.
A stock image of mother holding her baby's hand. A statistician has explained why no baby boys have been born in Miejsce for a decade.Based on this, we'd actually expect roughly 50 towns in the world with 12 consecutive girls , and another 50 with 12 consecutive boys. So, although this run of girls seems like a strange and unique event to the people of, there are in fact probably about 99 other places in the world where something similar is happening right now.
Human beings are notoriously terrible at identifying and understanding randomness, mainly because our brains work on the notion of pattern recognition. This concept of seeing patterns in random data has a number of names is often known as the clustering illusion, or the hot hand fallacy. also has a 1/4096 chance of happening.
Hmmmm, sounds like the plot of a bad movie!
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