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Morocco’s performances may not look all that impressive on paper, but a lot of that can be chalked up to how their group shook out. The Atlas Lions finished with seven points and a +3 goal differential , but their underlying metrics suggested that they were fortunate. Morocco conjured up just 2.4 expected goals for and gave up 2.8 xG against.
But those numbers need some further context. Against Croatia, Morocco executed a terrific game plan and held the Checkered Ones to just 0.5 xG. The Atlas Lions followed up that performance with a 2-0 win over Belgium, and the expected goals ended 1.5 to 1.0 in favor of the North Africans. So in their two matches as underdogs, where Morocco got to sit back and defend, the Atlas Lions posted 1.9 expected goals for and conceded 1.5. That’s impressive.
Referee Raphael Claus 2nd R changes the ball during the Group F match between Canada and Morocco at the 2022 FIFA World Cup
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