Morgan Stanley says global growth should recover in 2020 as trade tensions and monetary policy ease

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The bank forecasts global economic growth of 3.2% next year, compared to 3% in 2019.

However, the idea of easing off on tariffs has divided the White House, and Trump has said publicly that he has not committed to lifting any of his administration's duties against Chinese exports. Beijing is also reportedly reluctant to commit to purchasing $50 billion in U.S. agriculture goods, a key demand from Trump.

"We expect more easing, with the global weighted average policy rate touching a seven-year low by March 2020," Morgan Stanley's analysts wrote. "In 2020 the economy grows more slowly as the bulk of the positive lift from lower interest rates will have been absorbed and households balance higher income with higher prices from tariffs." Morgan Stanley said. "But the economy is on solid footing,with less external drag, sustained easy monetary policy and continued support from fiscal policy."

 

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