Liberty vs Jacksonville State Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Defense Is the Name of the Game

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College football odds, picks and prediction for Liberty Flames vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Week 7 betting free pick and game analysis.

Jacksonville State has impressed thus far but will have a big challenge against the Liberty Flames. The total for this game was set at 56, and our college football picks don't expect to see that many points put up on Tuesday.A C-USA clash between the two best teams in the conference is the perfect Tuesday night viewing for pigskin-obsessed fans looking to get in on the

While both these teams can certainly run the rock at a high level, neither has been able to consistently throw it much this year. The clock will be bleeding out while two of the better Group of Five defenses keep the scoring low. Hello, Under 56.5.defensive coordinator Zac Alley has been a key cog behind the team's early success in the FBS. His unit has been borderline dominant, sitting seventh in EPA per play, 27th in EPA per dropback, and 12th in EPA per rush.

With the pressure they get and the mistakes they force, a team like Liberty who loves to run the ball would normally stick to the ground, but the Gamecocks are even better there. They’re allowing just 112.7 rushing yards per game, seventh best in the Group of Five, at 2.7 per carry, tied for seventh best in the country, and have the eighth most forced fumbles in the FBS.

Despite the Liberty run defense not being quite as impressive as its pass D, the Flames allow just 116.8 rushing yards per game. The Flames are 83rd in EPA per rush on defense and are giving up 4.2 per carry while Jacksonville State has been running for 214.7 per game on offense at 4.6 per pop. This season, the Flames are 4-1 against the spread, with last week’s 21-16 win against Sam Houston State being the first time they failed to cover. Rich Rod’s program has been similarly impressive ATS, going 4-1-1. His Gamecocks have twice covered, and won, as underdogs.

 

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