The decision last week by the Trump Administration to start the process of leaving the Open Skies Treaty came as a shock for some. Those who have been following the debate over the treaty were not surprised.
The US does not believe that Russia is in compliance with the treaty and is giving Moscow six months to change its ways. If, after the six month period, the US is not satisfied that Russia is abiding by the treaty, it will leave the agreement. Since Russia is one of only five countries that recognises Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states , Moscow has refused to allow observation flights within 10 km of its border with these two occupied regions of Georgia since 2010. Georgia is a signatory that has ratified the treaty.
There are other Russian violations of the treaty too. For example, Moscow has placed limitations and restrictions on observation flights over its. In 2018, Russia refused a US observation flight during a major Russian military exercise. It is reasonable to wonder if, in this era of fiscal austerity resulting from the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the money needed to replace the older airplanes would be better spent elsewhere by the US military. This is especially true when considering that much of the same imagery produced by observation flights can be gathered by other means, like satellites.
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