to a clear lead in crucial Pennsylvania, with backing from college-educated white people and women -- notably white, moderate and suburban women -- central to his advantage in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll., for his part, is suffering attrition among his 2016 supporters; 8% of them now back Biden instead. While a small slice of the electorate, it’s a potentially important factor in a state Trump won by 44,292 votes out of nearly 6.2 million cast four years ago.
Like all pre-election polls, this survey measures current preferences among estimated likely voters; either or both can change. It’s an open question, for instance, whether Sunday’s New York TimesTrump does have ammunition in this poll, produced for ABC by: A 20-point advantage in strong enthusiasm among his supporters, 53% approval for handling the economy, solid backing in his base and a clear lead among voters who plan to cast their ballot in person on Election Day.
It can matter: Intended Election Day voters favor Trump over Biden by 60 to 39%. Those who plan to vote early, by contrast, favor Biden by a remarkable 87 to 13%. Ensuring that those early and absentee votes are cast and counted is a central concern for the Biden campaign.Unlike some elections in which a single issue dominates, a mix of concerns is at play. Twenty-five percent of Pennsylvania registered voters cite the economy as the top issue; for 18%, it’s the pandemic.
As mentioned, views on the economy, the pandemic and protests against police misconduct all are important -- attitudes on each of these independently predict candidate choice in a statistical model controlling for partisanship, ideology, race/ethnicity and other demographic variables. The gap is narrower in the suburbs, but notable nonetheless, given that suburban residents account for six in 10 likely voters in the state. The race is essentially a dead heat among suburban men -- 51 to 49%, Trump-Biden -- while it’s 59 to 41%, Biden-Trump, among suburban woman. That produces an overall result in the suburbs of 54 to 45%, exactly matching the race statewide.
Trump cruises among conservatives, with 87% support, as does Biden among liberals, 92%. Moderates divide by a wide margin in Biden’s favor, 63 to 35%, with another broad gender gap. Biden’s +7 points among moderate men balloons to +47 among moderate women, a 40-point gap.
I m for Trump and live in the Philly suburbs . No one asked me .
Stupid
LIES.
Great 👍
Will Democrats work towards extending Election Day due to fake mail in ballots?
This graph tells much. In person voters? Covid is a myth; no mask for me. Early voters? People aware of their environment and prepared to act on it. Another version? Darwinism.
Democrats, this voting day number needs to be better than shown here!!! Get your ass off the couch for two hours and go and vote JoeBiden!
67% intend to vote in person compared to 29% early vote. And trump wins 60%? So Biden wins 87% of the 29% voting early, that’s not going to make up for the in person voting.
McCainSuzanne Why he is attacking mail in votes
sts124 As an early voter, I really don’t give a flying fart in space. This is a ridiculous poll. 🙄
Is this including the ballots they have found in ditches and trash also ? That is why it is important to vote in person so they can be no mistakes made by someone dirty hands
Donald Trump is an income tax evader. Tax evasion is no longer a crime in the USA?
Poll what those early voters intend to do if DementiaJoe strokes out and Harris becomes the nominee.
We’ll vote and not spread covid. 👍
Trump2020 I'm a lifelong Democrat who is voting for Trump on election day.
Wrong!
Joke!
- VICE PRESIDENT BIDEN: PLEASE EXPLAIN HOW HARD WORKING AMERICANS CAN APPLY TO GET $3.5 MILLION DOLLARS WIRED TO THEIR BANK ACCOUNTS.
If this is true
This makes no sense ABC...all polls show Biden up. All polls show trump up w voters who plan to vote on Election Day. This says that the majority of voters plan to vote on Election Day?
rohaniroop That's why Twitter trolls keep insisting that they're only going to vote on election day and that 'you should, too'.
Silent majority invalidated all the polls in 16’. The swamp creatures & deep state are desperate as the illicit$$$ from the great American sellout Dried up. The vast majority of the public (Dems like me ) don’t embrace anarchy &we love God. Vote RED🎈
Remember when Trump claimed fraud in PA for army service members who voted for HIM?
In Pennsylvania. Kinda important don't you think?
Well when the DNC fills out the ballot...........
Now run the gun range video fake news
All of these polls are nonsense. The only poll that means anything is the election
And this is why Trump's whole spiel is 'mail voter fraud' and all those attacks on USPS.
That's not new. Historically, Democrats EV & Republicans vote day of...
You may want to put PA in that headline
Because it’s easy to CHEAT by mail
No one actually prefers Joe Biden.
😂
Trump Voters waiting to vote
In Pennsylvania....
Funny thing is people in this post believe it! I guess they forgot 2016. Polls are rigged. trumplandslide2020
Uh huh sure
BULLSHIT !!!!!!!!!!!!
JenniferJJacobs NBC News has Clinton +12 in PA at this point in 2016
Follow NewsNationNow for completely factual unbiased reporting and make up your own mind
And yet when you drive through Pennsylvania you only see Trump signs...
45% of Pennsylvania would vote for Trump....
......yeah about that.
Here in Central PA there are plenty of BidenHarris signs...particularly on farms & new developments of houses. Cumberland County is the fastest growing county in PA. Trump kept vital tests from PA. His latest stop in Harrisburg was because he is slipping here. BidenHarris2020
This maybe our last chance Trump is drowning in debt do you really think he would not sell us out! He so,d the Kurds out then built a hotel in Turkey
Not really surprised. 2016 was an outlier in Pennsylvania.
Vote blue forget the polls
We are PISSED about the past 4 years & RBG. LFG!!
Well then Abc hasn’t driven around in PA...all you see are Trump flags everywhere!! In the burbs and city......
ABC is a fake news joke just like all the rest
That’s why we call you Fake News!!!
China will celebrate if Biden wins. Why? A toy in hands of China. When Trump wins, China will weep. Why? The Lion again survives. The victory of Trump is war against oppressors.
Has ABC published 1 poll showing trump in lead and that too in this level of detail?
Women? Biden looks at women as sex objects. Something to feel up and smell.
✅✅✅✅
Thank you Pennsylvania 💪
Bullshit. Y'all need to bring those numbers closer if you expect to remain relevant in the future.
In 2016 the polls said Trump was losing PA by 10 points..🤣🤣
SykesCharlie 🙏
As usual when you see the “methodology” on how the poll was conducted more Democrats than Republicans were contacted. The results will always favor the Democrat candidate. Election2020 Democrats polls
Look at this beautiful picture of a cat
Trumps base do not care about his financies or his sexual crimes or anything else. to understand where they are coming from all you have to do is replace their mantra of 'i love my country' with 'i hate all other races'. Now you can see clearly who and what they are.
Well when you do a bad job people want you gone.
I live in PA, judging by what I see when driving to and from work, your information only pertains to the areas which typically democRATS carry, urban areas.
esaagar
SykesCharlie Anyone who values decency will vote out TrumpCrimeFamily TrumpIsNotABillionaire TrumpTaxReturns
SykesCharlie YAY!!!!!!!!!!!
Oversampling Democrats will always keep ahead, hahahahaha hahahahaha
SykesCharlie Sorry. I dont believe it.
esaagar So the Ballot harvesting can stop now right?
A big boost from woman?!? I guess they are just plain disconnected then; obiden record w/women stinks. Maybe they know nothing about communism or maybe they just don’t care about America...truth, justice. Dems r respon for all this destruction, looting, burning, killing
SykesCharlie Women and disaffected seniors are sending Joe Biden to the White House. LincolnProject
esaagar LOL Yeah...sure
Damn! How easily you forget...😂🤣😂🤣 Skillary!
HOW DO I TRUST POLLS? PLEASE YOU GUYS ? DO YOU REMEMBER 2016?
esaagar The best way to destroy america is to cast a vote for Joe Biden. That's why the rioters are for him.
esaagar Same poll that said hillary will win. Yeah right. And WAPo just endorsed Biden.
esaagar I dont understand why a particular group gets credit if a candidate is doing well. 'Red headed atheists in large part are tipping the scales.'
esaagar Rerun of 2016. Look at internals. 🧐
Yeah, the burbs will enjoy being lit up when Democrats run their towns in the ground. I don’t think they want their AR-15’s and Glock’s banned when the police get defunded.
esaagar
So your saying Trump has a chance...
I was never so embarrassed of PA than when it went red in 2016. Dark days indeed 🇺🇸
That doesn't take into account the us who are waiting till election day to vote for Trump.
I have a daughter voting there!!! vote
Outside SE PA Finding Biden supporters is like finding a unicorn. Finding somebody taking pills outside of SE PA is just as rare. Not fake polls just lazy and incorrect like in 2016.
Amen ! TY Pennsylvania!!
Bull!
Or thanks in part that your poll asked maj. of Dem voters who they will vote for...smh
Doubt That !!! Vote To Save Our Country ! Everyone Do Their part !
Sleepy Joe Biden? 🤪😜🤪😜😝😜🤪😝😜🤪😂😂😂😂Democrats 🤥🤥🤥😬😬😬😬😩😩🤮🤮🤮🤮
We need to save America as a democracy for the future. Having one in power changing the rule of peaceful transfer would ruin this democracy forever. Forever folks. We cannot do that.
Vote
Don't forget the SILENT MAJORITY!!! TRUMP2020 TRUMP2020
Yes Sisters , yes. 👍👏👏👏❣😎🙏🙏🙏
Fake news polls!
Likely voters who have land lines and answer the phone to numbers they don't know. If they wrote that every time they released the results, even fewer people would put any faith into them.
How come its so close. What’s wrong with you America. 45% of Americans are all in for Trump WTF!
Fake news, Fake polls what’s new?
Sure he does! We already know how the deep state manipulates polls.
Total bullshit...
Was this poll conducted by George?
keep going, keep going, it will be great if it was a landslide, it'll kill his huge ego for sure, and imagine the temper tantrum after. voteBindenHarris2020
Smart voters will disregard any and all polls. 🇺🇸GET OUT AND VOTE IR VOTE BY MAIL AS IF YOUR VOTE IS THE DECIDING VOTE!!🇺🇸 VoteBlueToEndThisNightmare VoteBlueDownBallot VoteBidenHarris2020
ABC NEWS, fake news, booooo!
Fraud! Your poll is bullshit!
Quit lying!
I just want to know, how much they got paid to aid and abet helping gonzo Biden’s numbers to go up?
Fake polls is a form of voter suppression
I'm glad that all of the people voting for Biden can afford to have their taxes raised. Biden said he was taking away the tax break that Trump gave us.
I hope we can trust the polls!!
HOW ABOUT THE SILENT VOTERS
Wtf is wrong with the other 45%?
hillary was at 70% and she lost too
Bwwhahahahahaha...😆...more FakePolls folks.
Manipulated poll FakeNews
Fake news !!!! Biden dosnt know which day it is !! Who's voting for him ? The fake polls
Oof
Sure ABC. Sure. We’ll see about that come November 3rd.
Don't get cocky, VOTE!
I have never been polled. How do I sign up?
This is an argument FOR the electoral college.
Great just like 2016
Yay go Joey
Pennsylvania will be called for Biden when the polls close.
Fake news
Biased sampling
FAKE NEWS !!!
Trumps ex re-election campaign manager Parscale is being under investigation by the FEC for $170 mill in money laundering! 😂😂😂😂😂
christinelu Vote like he's down 10 points. Don't fall for the 2016 polling bullshit again
Sure
If you're voting by mail in PA, be sure to use the secrecy envelope when returning your ballot, or your vote won't count.
vote vote vote
JonMIPol To Russia With Love Democracy
What about the rest ? Trump2020LandslideVictory
Wapo polls? you mean liberal Jeff bozzos polls. That's the way the left cheat they buy newspapers and networks so they control the news. And they still won't win hahaha! Polls don't mean anything, look at Trump rallies 1,000s attend compared to bribem's maybe 20 attend pollslie
FakeNews
mariekemph Breaking News! Another Leftist poll thinks Biden is winning, because they only poll Democrats, and Never Trumpers (in the 50+ cat lady group) to make these claims. One only needs to look at a Biden Rally of 10's and a Trump Rally of 10's of Thousands to see the ACTUAL numbers.
Pure fantasy
Lol ABC and WAPO, nough said.
Must be all of his campaigning
VoteHimOut (Trump) VoteJoeBidenToSaveAmerica
So the Electoral College doesn't count now?
🌊🌊🌊
Keep hallucinating. FakeNewsMedia
How.....
Honestly, do you Biden supporters really believe that Biden is a good choice for this country? Socialism, anti police, friend of China and Russia? Ongoing health issues, not to mention the corruption with his son. Tell me in what way will he help improve our country? Listening?
Someone needs to learn to count.
FreedomTVR Those damn suburban housewives lol
Didn't you have one of these with about the same numbers in 2016?
Oh hallelujah 😅
Bullshit.
Nobody with a brain believes you.
If you believe these polls i have a bridge in Brooklyn I will sell you I will start the bidding at $1000.00
Does anyone actually believe this poll? 🤣
B.S.
Keep believing that lol lol
JerryDunleavy Lool
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Nope! No way! Unless they have financial ties to the Reps etc nope!
And your being one of the spoke persons for the DNC, it is amazing that small of a break
Hey Abc remember that time when your news media polls said Hillary had a 98% chance of winning the election and then Trump whooped her ass? Yeah that was great! 😉
ABCNews is carrying water for democrat vote harvesting. This is why they wanted vote by mail. Undercover video shows ballot harvesting, intimidation and vote buying. These fake polls are designed to allow voting fraud to go unquestioned.
Only 9 points? You had Hillary by 20 points.
Right......
You expect me and everyone else to believe this is the reality in an entire state because you polled 1,200 people Get the hell out of here!
Go PA!
How the hell is tRUMP still getting 45% support after all the corruption, lies, stealing, gerrymandering and crimes he has perpetrated in his time in office? It appears 45% of Pennsylvania voters can’t read!!!
JMilesColeman I don't care anymore.
That’s fake news
Yessss!!! GO PA!!!!
This is what happens when realDonaldTrump threatens the suburbs most of his base is more south
Maybe it's the repeat of 2016. You people have not learned anything or perhaps corrupt
The only thing you can say about that is the women in Penn don’t really care about fair and equal employment. Don’t even say the Dems care more or they would have changed things years ago. They did nothing under Clinton and less than nothing under Obama-Biden.
Not a big enough lead!
These polls are as about as reliable as the main stream media is!
Ok..say thanks after election results..u shud do it definitely .it will be beautiful watching ur tears rolling liberal snowflake tears..
Fake news, lol.
IGNORE the polls! We cannot repeat our mistake of 2016. Vote! No matter what — Early, Mail, In-Person, just Vote. WhenWeAllVote RockTheVote DumpTrump BidenHarris2020 FlipTheSenate CountryOverParty ✊🏽🔵🗳📨🇺🇸🌊⚖️
Patta47cake Are they polling people in the rural areas with as much intensity as in the urban?
Fake News !!!
You had Hillary in a landslide too
Bull💩
It's depressing that so many people are still voting for Trump after these four devastating years. The US is in quite a poor position. May it be from a ruined economy, hundreds of thousands of deaths due to a poor handling of a pandemic and destroyed international relationships.
10/09/16 NBC poll Clinton +14
Ahhhh memories.... Trump2020
, washingtonpost; both are Left Wing biased.
Are you going to tell us about HunterBiden, his family and JoeBiden. It's in all the media around the world. Humantrafficking, prostitution, fraud, money received from Russian, Ukrainian and Chinese, scheming, corruption, etc, etc.
Democrats +6? LOL. 23 Percent Independent? What a Joke! FakeNews 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Fake News
Setting the narrative so when fraudulent ballots are counted, you can say “these results are consistent with our pre election polls”. Evil.
You are pure tabloid and propaganda at this point. Real news is dead
47 years of racist remarks, and racist policies. But yeah... he’s gonna change stuff 🙄
Can’t you ever write about POTUS achievements these 4 years? So many positives. You keep .....SINKING in any journalistic ability.
New poll out - ABC polls are 100% BS!
Fake news.
Need to get out an vote!!! Don’t just take the polls word, will lose again 🤦♂️.
Good news. Now vote like like it's too close to call.
I trust this as much as I believe in the tooth fairy.
FAKE NEWS
We got this. NOw we don’t have to vote
I call Bull Hockey!
Right... and tell us again ABC, How Hillary was going to win in a landslide again?
I’m sorry but this is just impossible.
Go vote folks!
🤣🤣
Yeah right🤣👏🤣🤣🤣
supertrumpie Sorry ABC - your pole is complete BS and the whole world knows that you are part of the fake news. You can’t stop the Trump Peaceful Protest Rallies so you’re effectively screwed in spreading your fake narrative. Poles on Twitter show 66% Trump support vs 33% Biden 👍🏼
Liar, liar pants on fire!
Your polls are as fake as Milli Vanilli.
Where are they finding these “likely voters” the DNC? I highly doubt this! 🙄 Have you seen Trump’s peaceful protests? Thousands of people.
KennethHowardC3 ✌️
This is a joke. Pre debate polls start getting ridiculous. In the last hour I’ve atrocious numbers. When you look a voter registration, demographic shifts, early voting, and naked eye rallies you know the truth. The truth....is Biden is in deep trouble.
Nora Dannehy, Connecticut prosecutor who was top aide to John Durham’s Trump-Russia investigation, resigns amid concern about pressure from Attorney General William Barr
Enough with the polls already, any credibility that polling data had went completely out the window in 2016. Let’s see some debates already. 🍿
Realy k well than he never talk about cleanliness on streets school filters public school bathroom the cleaning filtration of water system it’s a filth problem but all the he’ll he talk about us giving climate change money well the faith starts wit our Owen cleaning k
Well, if he didn’t, then common logic would suggest that voters in PA were nothing more than gullible, naive sheep.
Who were polled? Jill’s friends?
I’m getting some 2016 deja vu. It’s like they don’t learn their lesson; Please remember to vote no matter what the useless polls tell you! The31Collapse tells it right
Lol. Obama 2012 won PA by 5.4%. Biden is nowhere close to 9 point lead.
69-31 Biden lead in the Philly suburbs (☉_☉)
JerryDunleavy No way.
Among like voters? LOL
😂
Yeah- like that woman who was responsible since for killing our troops in Benghazi? When she was leading the polls in 2016?
Amazing poll for some who takes Zero questions from the media.
🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂fakenews
Sure he is.
JerryDunleavy If Trump doesn’t get Pennsylvania, it’s very, very tough.
Blue polls are bullshit....
The media is full of shit. So are their polls. EnemyOfThePeople
Vote Republican; 3 SCJ,+foreign policy{NKorea,China,Iran, Soleimani,UAE/Israel,Nobel PP}taxes,jobs, unemployment,+trade/USMCA,+border/immigration, NO collusion/Senate impeachment,+prison reform,$HBCU,$Isreal Embassy,+Covid/WHO&Civil unrest leadership +Law&Order,No Socialism🇺🇸
2016 called, they want their pollsters back
JerryDunleavy
Hate to bring up somewhat recent history, but Clinton led Trump by 77 percent to 23 percent in Pennsylvania in 2016. I wouldn’t be that thrilled considering...
A word of advice. Run this one through BotSentinel's bulk blocker tool. Lotsa whiny bots & trolls responding.
POTUS nominated for his 3rd Nobel Peace Prize.
Sweep the leg!!!!
Lol..china got $$$ on both horses...wake up. Imma not a realDonaldTrump supporter...but we have way bigger fish to fry den an senile orange ompa loompa wit a bad combover ...ie da ppl dat created COVID19 aka CCPVirus ... like BillGates
Riiight....you learned nothing from 2016, did you? Keep pushing those fake polls...
supertrumpie Hahahahaha
JerryDunleavy Hahah. Did you count those dumped by USPS ballots?
APunchableGuy A poll by two organizations with absolutely no credibility 🙄🙄
Why are TheDemocrats always cheating?! CashforBallots IlhanOmarVoterFraud
Woman are more intelligent than man with AK-15 . fred_guttenberg Acosta Philadelphia Biden is up in Philly with woman's voters.
Right cause we suddenly believe any story you come out with!! 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂👏 MAGA2020LandslideVictory
Are they trying to estimate how may votes they stills need to throw away or have they hid the rest of them? Or are you also doing the whole cashforballots thing too?
Suppression polls
Sorry I'm not in denial I just don't believe this poll.
Anyone remember how well the polling data worked out back in 2016?
New News/WaPo poll finds Pennsylvania voters who went for Hillary Clinton in 2016 favor Biden by 98-1%, while Pres. Trump’s 2016 supporters divide by 92-8%.
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