In Georgia, Stacey Abrams relies on new voters to buck history

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As Stacey Abrams builds her second gubernatorial campaign in 4 years, she is looking at a Georgia electorate that is far larger, younger and less white, according to an analysis her aides provided exclusively to NBCNews.

And while voters don't register by party in Georgia, the campaign's modeling of available information on newer registrants estimates that 45 percent are likely Democratic voters and 28 percent are likely Republican voters, with the remaining 27 percent unclassified as yet because of a lack of available data.

Biden's approval rating is upside-down at 42.3 percent in the Real Clear Politics average of polls, and Republicans made major gains in Virginia and New Jersey elections last month. But Abrams' camp believes the shifts in those states, driven in part by white suburbanites, won't be echoed in Georgia because the electorates are different.

And yet some Republicans have reason to fear that former President Donald Trump's entry into the fray — he has called for Republican Gov. Brian Kemp's ouster and encouraged former Sen. David Perdue, R-Ga., to get in — could ravage the party's chances of holding the governor's seat. All sides say they expect the general election to be close, and the Cook Political Report, a respected electoral odds-maker, shifted the race from"leans Republican" to"tossup" when Abrams announced her bid Dec. 1.

"We found that Brian Kemp is a weak incumbent that could be very susceptible to a strong primary challenge,” pollsters for Trump's SuperPAC wrote in, “Trump’s endorsement of David Perdue would completely upend the race.”

 

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NBCNews we need stacy--!!-she has excellence and integrity which OUR MANY IN THE HALLS OF POWER--DO NOT HAVE!! GO GURL,,WE LOVE YOU!!!

NBCNews She would be an amazing governor. I wish I could vote for her myself.

NBCNews may be a factor, but consider Ga is in their feelings about kemp. As GA SecState, he certified his own election and did absolutely nothing that benefited the people of GA. His own state wants him gone and it has nothing to do with trump. Having Abrams run again gives Ga a redo

NBCNews It’s really sad that she has to count on less experienced and “colored” votes to win an election. Although, it can also mean that she knows her limitations and that this has to be her main focus

NBCNews Less white..... sounds soooo racist. But what else to expect from the racist party.

NBCNews Stacey will ALWAYS have my vote!!!

NBCNews So she is going to move as many illegals to Georgia and give them voting right along with the deceased?

NBCNews Please win! I live in VA and we weren’t so lucky!

I thought that the governor of any state should be color blind - representing all citizens of USA - not focused on people of color only. Bad sign- very bad- bad candidate

Is she going to give her two weeks notice to Popeyes. They gonna need a new drive thru girl

THAT IS THE ONLY WAY SHE CAN WIN NO WHITE VOTES AND ONLY BLACK VOTERS WILL MAKE HER WIN GET WITH IT AMERICA DON'T LET THIS HAPPEN.

I wish her all the best. I love her tenacity in the political world. She gets things done.

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Opinion | Stacey Abrams’ governor bid just did something inconceivable in GeorgiaCole Brown: Four major party candidates for Georgia’s top seats are Black, but they all embody the fraught nature of America’s racial politics. - NBCNewsTHINK THINK That's why I will likely contribute, but I realize that nothing is certain in The South. She's sharp and she came very close last time, but Georgia is far from a slam dunk. THINK
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What polls say about support for Stacey Abrams as she runs for Georgia governor againRecent polls suggest the Democratic activist faces a tough campaign in her second bid for the office.
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2nd Stacey Abrams governor bid sees new tests, intriguesStacey Abrams announced a long-awaited second run for Georgia governor this week, but with Democrats facing a sour national environment and Republican Gov. Brian Kemp facing challenges within his own party, the 2022 campaign will look different from 2018. Abrams' narrow loss, highlighted by her claims that Kemp used his prior post as secretary of state to unfairly push voters away, vaulted her to national stardom in a year when Democrats nationwide capitalized on then-President Donald Trump's unpopularity. Abrams' contention that Georgia could be dragged into the Democratic column by focusing on registering and mobilizing infrequent Democratic-leaning voters was validated in 2020, when Joe Biden won Georgia by about 12,000 votes and in 2021, when Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock won runoffs to deliver control of the U.S. Senate to Democrats. What a face to put forward to the world! Before Abrams could ever be successful, she would need to lose about a ton of weight (obesity demonstrates personal weakness), close that garage-size space between her front teeth, and drop that pickaninny-style hair. Go, Stacy, go. You have my support. We need more good people like you. 'Long awaited' by who, the MSM? Just a way to take in more money from donations in which, even when she looses again, she gets to keep. Just like Beto. It's a money making scheme.
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