, James Comey, announced the discovery of new emails that might be pertinent to his investigation into Hillary Clinton. Her polling lead in mid-October had been almost as big as Joe Biden’s is now. Twelve days later she was giving a concession speech. Election day is closer than it was when Mr Comey made his intervention—quirks of the calendar mean this year’s falls on November 3rd rather than November 8th, which is when Donald Trump won four years ago.
Normally, party registration and voting are not tightly correlated. Kentucky and West Virginia, for instance, both have more registered Democrats than Republicans, but are all but guaranteed to back Mr Trump. We calculated the relationship between changes in Democratic registration and vote share in Florida from 2004 to 2016 and found there wasn’t one.
Watchers are not supposed to interact with voters, though. If they believe a voter is ineligible, they are supposed to tell a poll worker , and challenges generally require a rational basis—not race or age, for instance.
He will not... And THERE is the problem
The *media wonders what they might be overlooking this time.
Another Stormy affair.
Cheating and vote tampering
Did the same polls have these paths in 2016? nOOO!
No matter who will win, the USA won't be the Roman Empire ever again.
Cheating. That's how he'd do it.
Trump has been blighted with false accusations about Russia, Ukraine and the virus, and by the dishonesty of a hostile media. He's pro-police, pro-jobs, pro-peace in the Middle East, pro-textualist judges, against new wars, against killing unborn babies. What's not to like?
With the support of both Putin and Satan?
Economist No 👎
Surely there are significant differences between 2016 and today, he is the incumbent, people know him now.
4 years ago, the FBI announced that Clinton was under investigation 10 days before the election. Polls don’t adjust that quickly.
The scenarios listed are very scary thoughts especially if registrations does = voters.
Polls today have already taken into account the surprise of 2016. They should be more reliable unless Trump supporters are exceptionally energized and turn out en masse.
This is bs. A narrow path that is not repeatable is the same as no path at all. Premise, conclusion, non sequitur is an excuse for unnecessary writing.
That was four years ago now every body knows his true colours...👎
Clean corrupted media and dems
Will you show the tape of Trump saying it was 'good' as a last reply to Biden over the 500 and so parentless south American children in detention in the US. Was that good from Trump meaning its good the children are parentless?
Silent Majority is Huge. Same in 2016 TrumpLandslideVictory2020
I think otherwise!
BERNIE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Great photo!
I don't know about that... Could it be that they over estimated Hilary's likability?
His strength and determination are underestimated even today.
Trump loses, declares 'Fraud' and engineers a White House Putsch. Bout the only way Trump can stay in the Presidency.
He didnt have strength. He got less votes than Romney. He won by 70k votes across five states. Too many Dems stayed home and ballots were thrown out. They aren’t staying home again.
Yeah...it’s not gonna happen this time. His FBI Director just had Offset arrested on LIVE with guns drawn
Why did they block out his face?
You should stop crying economist, Trump is obviously about to win, an so humanity too😉
That pic wins the Internet today
People didn't know he was a monster. Decent human beings won't be voting for him, only racists.
Go for hunt(er)..
The Economist will never change. Never come back to BEING HONEST. Hilarious! 🤣🤣🤣🤣
The picture you used is perfect 😂
Biden Laptop Matters. BLM.
The American people was sold this idea that Trump was a Disrupter and the chaos was strategic, but after three years the American people have rather waken up to Trump's utter incompetence and blatant corruption always looking out for his own personal interest. Enough! VoteHimOut
The country is against 4 more yrs of Trump's chaos, anger, incompetence, division, corruption, failed economy, cowardness, lack of leadership, policy of revenge punishment, botched response to a pandemic, failing to raise to the occasion during racial unrest, using it as a wedge.
Easily
The president of our country is a Super Spreader. He denies science and is responsible for thousands of deaths in this pandemic. Vote in November to remove him from our government! FireTrump
Who cares what the polls are nationally means nothing. Look at swing states. Polls are tightening in Florida Michigan Arizona Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Bullshit this is a close race.
Postal fraud should be the matchwinner for the Bolsheviks this time around
2016 proved there is no need to catch up. right down to polling day, the world was shown Hillary winning. and then November 8 happened. Same with Brexit. I only trust one poll. the one of actual ballots and not opinions. There must be a reason they call them opinion polls
Fake information
Remember Hilary win the popular vote! The electoral college should disappear
no emails this time
Let’s see, 🇷🇺🇨🇳 🇮🇷 🇰🇵 🤷🏽♂️ idk, so just go to &
He is about to win, don’t cry economist bullshit
I'm not quite sure how anyone can think Trump is going to lose. The rallies alone show the enthusiasm level of both candidates. It's going to be a Trump landslide. It won't even be close.
Nobody cares about the polls except for the mind manipulators' bias.
I don’t think he has much to worry about.🙄
no one takes polls seriously after 2016
Voter fraud through voter suppression.
Might wanna start with how much of a horrible ticket Biden/Harris is? Maybe look into the DNC force feeding unpopular candidates on the people? How about giving the people an option that actually cares about the people and not their corporate wall st owners?
You think Trump who believes sucker church, you believe sucker Trump. Why don't you respect racist, violence, scientists, dead covid? Why don't you know, I said that the Life Commandments are not respected.
It didn’t help he called scientists “idiots”. I mean NASA are idiots? Doctors are idiots? What a dummy president... Trump thinks he’s god
Listen to me, if Jesus listens to me, my ear is called, someone hears a voice called. Nobody got it by ear, I was a child, I know Jesus, I miss Jesus. Vote Biden, think: fact way Biden, Time existed Biden.
TRUMP 2020
Last time woman fear played and this time too it's there partially due to Harris
In an exceptionally lukewarm take, anyone who believes the polls enough to be dissuaded from voting is an absolute dolt.
Trump has failed managing the pandemic that is causing 240,000 deaths, millions unemployed, and acting irresponsibly spreading the virus. Based on these facts, how can he get more votes? Unless people went crazy already....
Have you even looked at his competition? Please! Joe and the Hoe is like voting for dumb and dumber
Russian vote count tampering. It’s the reason that the Senate took no action on Russian interference over the past 4 years. It is part of the reason that Republican Senators spent Independence Day in Moscow a couple of years ago.
Democrats are nothing if not blindly overconfident.
Duh! Running behind? Good try! Its over and you know it!
STOP DUPING PEOPLE
Donald Trump will defeat Joe Biden....media is helping evil Joe Biden ...the same way media help gen buhari of Nigeria.....Nigeria is bleeding , America will be a ghost nation
Same way he did it the last time. Closet voter's, that say one thing publicly and do a different thing quietly. Those that believe it is politically correct to denounce him publicly but expedient to vote for him secretly. They abound.
People who are vote for Trump are, on average, not participating in 'some stupid poll' ...
Haha, you assume 2016 was a free and fair election and youll also assume, if he wins in 2020, that will also be a free and fair election
Exactly
Biased media
The Economist: the contrarian indicator
nonono... Trump will not win, You guys said.
Ignore the polls, ignore the media. Vote. VoteBlueToSaveAmerica
Great photo!
The polls were wrong in 2016
Russia's help. That's what everyone is waiting for. Will they hack voting machines?
Weird flex with that pic, but ok.
We just need to vote, and it is foolish to vote for the GOP as they are harming Americans and the world badly. Mask up, vote and care for all. =
It simple, the polls are bias, in real sleepy joe performance is weak and old
they're overlooking the fact that trump is winning now and will win the election in a couple weeks. any argument against that is a special kind of cope
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