How Trump's trials will make a mess of the 2024 election

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Former President Donald Trump is likely to be on trial for all of 2024. He is also likely to be the Republican Party's 2024 presidential nominee.

as well; and election officials in Michigan, New Hampshire and elsewhere — both Democratic and Republican — are considering whether to exclude the former president from their state ballots.

Then, on Jan. 15, 2024 — the same day Iowa Republicans head to the caucuses — a jury will decide how much Trump has to pay in damages forFinally, two weeks later — right when the New Hampshire primary typically takes place — Trump's team will head back to court to face a federal class-action lawsuit accusing the former president and his business of promotingWill any of these civil cases dent Trump's support among base voters? Unlikely.

That means Trump could have the GOP nomination largely sewn up before any of his criminal trials really get underway. Federal prosecutors estimate that the documents case will take 21 days; the federal election case, four to six weeks. A conviction on a single count of conspiring to obstruct justiceThe final primaries, meanwhile, fall on June 4.

 

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