How To Figure Out How Much Money You Need

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Here's how to figure out how much money you need:

Let's consider how much income each of the net worth averages would produce, in today's dollars, for the lifetime of someone retiring at age 66 with a high probability of never running out of money. That amount from the"wealthy" net worth of $1.9 million would be around $76,000 a year. The"financially happy" net worth of $1.1 million would provide an income of $44,000 a year, and the"financially comfortable" net worth would produce $25,000 a year.

You may be surprised at how low the sustainable income is for each of these amounts. Most folks over-project the income a sum of money will sustainably generate. For example, it wouldn’t be unusual to assume an 8% return, which is historically what stocks have produced, apply that to $1.9 million, and conclude that an annual income of $152,000 was possible.One problem with this conclusion is that the return will never sustainably be 8%. It will be 15% one year and negative 15% another year.

Let’s assume—unrealistically, but for the sake of argument—that the 8% average return was a level, sustainable return. The $152,000 would gradually buy less and less as the years went by as inflation rolls on. For example, even assuming inflation at the historically low rate of 2.5%, after 30 years the $152,000 would only buy $72,500 of goods in today's dollars.

On the other hand, withdrawing a sustainable lifetime income of $76,000 from the $1.9 million portfolio would actually allow the portfolio to grow to keep pace with inflation. In 30 years, its income would be $159,000.: Knowing your net worth can be one tool to assess whether you are on track in preparing for retirement. The more significant information, however, is a realistic estimate of whether that net worth can provide a comfortable and sustainable income.

 

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