The small-market Tampa Bay Rays defeated the New York Yankees and the Houston Astros to reach the World Series and face the Dodgers.
Owners rushed to embrace analytics, for innovation and cost efficiency, and not necessarily in that order. Tanking became the flavor of the moment, lowering the payroll and alienating the fan base in the promise of brighter years ahead. The lords of the sport repeatedly pointed to the Chicago Cubs and Houston Astros as proof of concept: tear down, build back, win the World Series.
“Having a limited amount of money to spend, you have to be more accurate with your bow and arrow. They don’t miss.”But the Cubs and Astros are large-market teams. The Boston Red Sox won a World Series with analytics, but they also signed David Price for $217 million and Chris Sale for $145 million.
The lesson of “Moneyball” was not to lionize on-base percentage. It was to celebrate the confidence of a team that had identified its best chance to win as zagging when the industry was zigging.
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