For subscribers: Will Lake Mead's plummeting water levels leave San Diego high and dry?

Top agency officials have recognized the dire situation.

“I don’t think we have a timeframe of two years, like a lot of people think, before we reach dead pool,” he said. “My personal opinion is next year, we might be there, if something’s not done.” Water managers are hopeful that by Tuesday, they’ll have the outlines of a grand bargain to cut annual use by more than 2 million acre-feet. Details will then likely need to be finalized by the spring to avoid federal intervention, especially if the mountains of Colorado and Wyoming experience below-average snowfall this winter.

Agricultural leaders have so far been willing to participate in a collective solution that doesn’t involve the courts. But that could change, especially if they start to view urban areas as unwilling to make equal sacrifices. The other 200,000 acre-feet were freed up under the deal with water authority with an initial period of agricultural fallowing, and have been sustained with investments in drip irrigation and other such technology on farms.

' . . as Lake Mead has shrunk to record-low levels?' Not at record low levels. It was as it was first rapidly filling up, during a record period of drought. How'd it do that? Think about that.

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