Watson: Don’t get it twisted, the Packers are not a pass-happy team. That seems to be a common misconception since they have that Aaron Rodgers guy. Instead, Green Bay was just below average in pass-play rates since Head Coach Matt LaFleur took over. Establishing the run is a crucial aspect of LaFleur’s offense. Could that be why the Packers haven’t sustained fantasy-relevant receivers outside of Davante Adams under LaFleur? It may be a factor, but it shouldn’t be viewed as the main reason.
Moore: Kansas City is a great place for receivers to thrive. Only four teams had a higher pass-play rate than the Chiefs in each of the past two seasons. They also used 11 personnel at the seventh-highest rate last season. Translation: you want a piece of their receiving core. Since quarterback Patrick Mahomes became the starter in 2018, only one player not named Travis Kelce or Tyreek Hill has averaged six or more targets per game: Sammy Watkins in 2019.
Watson: Oh, it’s there. Between the departures of Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Green Bay has nearly 15.6 vacated targets per game. Again, I expect slightly fewer passes this season, unless the Packers find their next Davante Adams. But we can’t expect that to happen. Adams was the only Packer to see more than 65 targets last season with a whopping 169. Not a soul on Green Bay’s roster has proven capable of even coming close to that type of usage.
Moore: Like with Watson, there’s a chance Moore is the most talented wide receiver on the Chiefs’ roster. Kansas City brought in JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling to help offset the losses of Hill, Byron Pringle and Demarcus Robinson. The trio combined for 15.3 targets per game in 2021, so there are plenty of opportunities for the new guys to make an impact. Of course, Hill and Kelce were the only Chiefs to see more than 83 targets.
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