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Experts: Virus numbers could be erratic after Thanksgiving

MILWAUKEE (AP) — The coronavirus testing numbers that have guided much of the nation's response to the pandemic are likely to be erratic over the next week or so, experts said Friday, as fewer...

11/28/2020 1:36:00 AM

The U.S. crossed 13 million coronavirus cases on Friday. The numbers reported over the next week or so are likely to be erratic, experts say, as fewer people get tested during the Thanksgiving holiday weekend.

MILWAUKEE (AP) — The coronavirus testing numbers that have guided much of the nation's response to the pandemic are likely to be erratic over the next week or so, experts said Friday, as fewer...

MILWAUKEE (AP) — The coronavirus testing numbers that have guided much of the nation’s response to the pandemic are likely to be erratic over the next week or so, experts said Friday, as fewer people get tested during the Thanksgiving holiday weekend and testing sites observe shorter hours.

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The result could be potential dips in reported infections that offer the illusion that the spread of the virus is easing when, in fact, the numbers say little about where the nation stands in fighting COVID-19.“I just hope that people don’t misinterpret the numbers and think that there wasn’t a major surge as a result of Thanksgiving, and then end up making Christmas and Hanukkah and other travel plans,” said Dr. Leana Wen, a professor at George Washington University and an emergency physician.

ADVERTISEMENTA similar pattern unfolds on many weekends. Because some testing centers, labs and state offices are closed on Saturdays and Sundays, COVID case numbers often drop each Sunday and Monday, only to peak on Tuesday.Dr. Mark Rupp, professor and chief of infectious diseases at the University of Nebraska Medical Center in Omaha, said the effect of Thanksgiving is likely to be a magnified version of the weekend figures. The Thursday holiday will exacerbate the record-keeping discrepancies over the long weekend, artificially depressing the reported numbers for four or five days before spiking as test results catch up. headtopics.com

Johns Hopkins University reported a high of more than 2 million tests a few days before Thanksgiving as people prepared to travel, but that number had dropped to less than 1.2 million tests reported on Thanksgiving Day. The latter number, as well as positive case numbers, which had dropped by about a third Friday, could be adjusted as more results are returned.

In several states and cities, health officials said they anecdotally saw people getting tested before deciding to travel or gather for Thanksgiving meals. They warned that the tests are often a snapshot, not a complete assurance that someone has not been exposed to the virus.

“I think it can be kind of a false sense of security for some people. And I suspect that, again, after the Thanksgiving holiday is over, we’ll see kind of a surge of people catching up with their testing next week,” Rupp said. “And then I fully expect that, because people have continued to travel, they’ve continued to have gatherings outside their immediate family, that we will see a surge in cases here over the next one to three weeks.”

ADVERTISEMENTExperts worry how people might interpret the situation after the long weekend, especially if it takes a few weeks for Thanksgiving exposures to show up in testing data.Cities and states generally use hospitalization and intensive care numbers, which lag behind virus case reporting, to determine when to increase or ease public health restrictions and recommendations. But the public is more likely to look at testing numbers or case counts, which might be misleading, Wen said. headtopics.com

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“Where we are now is a completely unsustainable place. I think it’s extremely frustrating to those of us in health care to see our calls are not being heeded,” Wen said. “And the level of alarm that we have is not reflected in individuals’ behavior.”___

Associated Press writers Desiree Mathurin in Bay Shore, N.Y., and Claudia Lauer in Philadelphia contributed to this report. Read more: The Associated Press »

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What a joke they tell people to stay home, not to celebrate thanksgiving, but you one can protest everyday and that’s not a factor for spreading... so naive danisaur19 So what? Mortality is plummeting and recovery rate is 99.97%... just like the flu. Covidiocy Why the fuck would you get tested?🤷🏼‍♂️

AP, there are no experts. This virus has baffeled all your so called experts. Yawn what is a case if it be dismissed or thrown out ?... quit counting cases and count the verdict .. death 😁😂☠️ them case number mean nothing to me if most of them still living Shocker! Every false positive must count Ppl should start unfollowing you ... You've become trash propaganda. was Trump REALLY fk'g worth losing all respect?

And still at a 99.8% survival rate 🤷‍♂️ You can't test your way out of this situation *UNLESS* you can test yourself instantly and continuously. Funny. We should start calculation of flu infections the way we do with Wuhan Flu, it'll scare the piss out of everyone hooked on msm Remember that every infection could spell a possibly unwanted death.

Fewer people tested= more people walking around spreading the virus. In any case, many would not isolate if positive. It will be the fault if those who traveled, non makers, had big gatherings. It's their faults that more Americans are dying and businesses going under. It's shameful 27/11/2020 | VIGÍLIA DE AVIVAMENTO | SÉRIE O ARREBATAMENTO DA IGREJA MegaWordVigil Os que pertencem a Cristo Jesus crucificaram a carne, com as suas paixões e os seus desejos. Gálatas 5:24

27/11/2020 | VIGÍLIA DE AVIVAMENTO | SÉRIE O ARREBATAMENTO DA IGREJA MegaWordVigil Thanks to your 'christian' supreme court judge drumming up business for God. It wont be fewer that die. 27/11/2020 | VIGÍLIA DE AVIVAMENTO | SÉRIE O ARREBATAMENTO DA IGREJA 27/11/2020 | VIGÍLIA DE AVIVAMENTO | SÉRIE O ARREBATAMENTO DA IGREJA MegaWordVigil

CDC COVID Survival Rates: 0-19: 99.997% 20-49: 99.98% 50-69: 99.5% 70+: 94.6% Remember when realDonaldTrump said on February 26th that we’d have close to zero cases in a couple days? 🤣 27/11/2020 | VIGÍLIA DE AVIVAMENTO | SÉRIE O ARREBATAMENTO DA IGREJA MegaWordVigil Thanks a lot Obama Trumps.....America first

How many people have tested positive for being asymmetric in any way? Are they dying? Fake It's painfully obvious that we are all going to be infected by covid-19. Some sooner...some later.