Democrats' Senate hopes rest on red-state incumbents

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Montana’s Jon Tester and Ohio’s Sherrod Brown will need to defy their states’ ideological leanings by winning over a sizable number of ticket-splitters next fall.

Democrats, Senate, Red-State Incumbents, Reelection, Swing-State Polling, Joe Biden, Campaigns, Victories

Democrats’ hopes of clinging to the Senate next fall now rest almost entirely on their party’s most endangered species: red-state incumbents seeking reelection. Montana’s Jon Tester and Ohio’s Sherrod Brown will need to defy their states’ ideological leanings by persuading a sizable number of ticket-splitters to vote for them. It’s an ominous reality for Democrats, who are simultaneously confronting lackluster swing-state polling for President Joe Biden.

Democrats are investing in campaigns in Florida and Texas in a bid to oust Rick Scott and Ted Cruz, respectively, but Democratic leaders know the easiest path to retaining the Senate majority runs through victories for Tester, Brown and Biden, whose victory is necessary to break a 50-50 tie

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