Daraa in the face of the Syrian regime

Daraa al Balad, the epicenter of the revolution in Syria, has been besieged by the Bashar al Assad regime and Iranian militias since late June. After negotiationson September 3 because the regime broke the August 31 agreement and raised the ceiling of demands, the regime began a fierce bombardment campaign with artillery and heavy missiles to force the people of Daraa al Balad to give in.

The regime, and the Iranian militias backing it, aim to disrupt any agreement that suits the interests of the people of Daraa, out of fear of the replication of Daraa's model of steadfastness in any other region, whether in the south or in the PYD-controlled region in eastern Syria. The regime's strategy is to starve the people, weaken their resistance, crush the hotbed of revolution and end the demonstrations, separate each of the cities of reconciliation and settlement, and expand the influence of the Iranian militias in the south.

Most attempts by the Russians to bridge the gap between the regime and the negotiating delegation failed due to the regime breaking agreements and raising the ceiling of demands and inventing pretexts, such as the presence of terrorists and foreigners in Daraa al Balad to separate neighbourhoods and bombard the region.

Iran has succeeded in delaying reaching a settlement agreement in favour of the people, and has sent a clear message to other regions that they may face the same fate. Russia, meanwhile, has contributed in some way to deterring the Iranian militias from achieving their goals of displacing and harassing the people, by mediating and reaching an agreement at the last moment.

Finally, there is no doubt that a number of other factors, including the desire of the Russians to end the Daraa file, the failure of the international community to put an end to the regime, the absence of any opposition from Jordan to Iranian militias, as well as the lack of a political horizon for a solution in Syria, that influence the situation in Daraa.

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