of covid-19 is most often measured by two numbers: how many people are infected, and how many have died. The first is very uncertain. Some carriers show no symptoms, and most countries do not test people who seem healthy. Because data on infections are unreliable, researchers have focused on deaths. Yet new statistics suggest that current fatality numbers may also understate the damage.
Official death tolls for covid-19 may exclude people who died before they could be tested. They also ignore people who succumbed to other causes, perhaps because hospitals had no room to treat them. The latter group has been large in other disasters. For example, when Hurricane Maria struck Puerto Rico in 2017, America recorded only 64 deaths. A study later found that the surge in total deaths was close to 3,000. Many occurred in hospitals that lost power.
Such analysis is not yet possible for nations battling covid-19. The only European country whose total death rate had spiked by March 20th was Italy. This estimate is based on a group of cities. Unfortunately, Italy does not break down covid-19 deaths by city, precluding a comparison of covid-19 and total deaths in the same area., a newspaper, has obtained data from 82 localities in Italy’s Bergamo province. In March these places had 2,420 more deaths than in March 2019.
These differences may shrink over time. Official counts of covid-19 fatalities could be updated to include people who have already died, because confirming the cause sometimes takes several days. The toll from other types of death might fall soon: lockdowns could reduce accidents and violence, and many frail covid-19 victims were already likely to die of other causes. And mortality data are noisy in smaller regions—especially hard-hit ones that may not be representative of entire countries.
Still, the official covid-19 count will always seem too low in places like Nembro, a Bergamasque town of 11,000 people. It suffered 152 deaths in March, with only 39 attributed to the virus so far. “Almost all the old people got it,” says Luca Foresti, a researcher. “And therefore they died, a lot.
You're a smart baby. It's true.
so the overall infection rate might be: 100x by some estimates, so the lockdown is kind of meaningless if that is the case. You don’t just talk about the 1/2 of the issue.
AndthenIsleep It also excludes all those who have died without being tested and then recorded as 'pneumonia' Have seen many people posting about losing loved ones, untested, reported as pneumonia
Surely if you have a pre existing or other health issues, but incidently had covid 19, then surely it's misleading to say they died because of it, or am I missing the point
Great Britain helped the continent during second War and many English died for its. Now Great Britain must to be helped as they did for us.
cookiesinheaven But it also includes people who had the virus but died of a preexisting (other) condition. The stats are being combined. They're not taking the time to do autopsies. Overall, we don't know the real picture (again).
Fed govt. will pay for all uninsured COVID-19 cases, follow the money
LarryBoorstein But it includes people who die from unrelated reasons but test positive for CV...even if they had no CV symptoms.
This administration cheats and lies about everything. Why not this? Surprised no...no credibility from the beginning. That's why no one watching pressers either. Pure BS from start to end.
What do you mean may exclude..it certain
If we're not aggressively testing, then we're not measuring the scope of the problem. If we're not aggressively testing, every metric is an approximation with assumptions that could, and will turn out to be, WRONG. This is what dealing with uncertainty is like.
Could this be why the Trump administration is slow rolling the massive testing required to measure and control covid-19?
andreazzaeditor
Of course it is. We’ve already been told people dying at home werent counted. Care to find out how many people died of flu/pneumonia since Nov compared with past few years ? Then we’ll listen to you.
Covid-19 after!!!! Whts next?
Or they were clear and being lumped in with virus sufferers.
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Of course The dead dont vote
On the contrary. CDC guidelines to Drs. Tells them that Covid19 should be the co-morbis. Incase no testing has been done.
We already know this...
may? I would say for sure!
This remind me of that student who is a lost cause but he is a smart kid at the same time. So why this measure? Is it to make the stats look less worse ? I say no and the image should remain clear displaying the full picture with no trimming
As I was saying, unless we have figures for: - pneumonia - ARDS - cardiomyopathy - MODS *and* - COVID By age, health status, and location. We are flying blind DHSCgovuk
PMOIndia narendramodi MoHFW_INDIA i want the clarification
But it’s a hoax
Just ike Italy.
clickbait
and here what you will find
You are nonsense
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