U.S. COVID-19 Cases Are Skyrocketing, But Deaths Are Flat—So Far. These 5 Charts Explain Why
The U.S. third wave may look different from the past two
Widespread testing is not the entire reason for U.S. cases going up (testing has been steadily increasing over the course of the pandemic, while cases have gone up and down, as shown above). But if more people are getting infected, a robust testing system can help uncover that trend—and that’s a good thing. Having better data helps researchers estimate the prevalence of the virus in a community, while rapid testing also allows people to protect others by isolating after they’ve been in contact with someone who tested positive. Widespread testing will identify the most severe cases
as well asup to 40%of all infections.Early in the pandemic, many countries, including the U.S., were short on testing supplies. As a result, many mild cases went undetected. One U.S. study estimated that there were likely10 times moreinfections between late March and early May than reported. Because only the sickest patients were being tallied as confirmed cases, the case-fatality rate was high, and the virus appeared more deadly. This is why the case-to-fatality rate isn’t a perfect indicator of how likely a person is to die from the illness: the ratio will vary depending on the number of people in a given population getting tested.
Because the U.S. is now doing more testing, this metric is more useful today than it was earlier in the pandemic, at least to assess general trends. And what we’re seeing now is a declining case-fatality rate, stemming from rising case counts and flat death death counts.
3. Public-health measuresIn early March, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention began encouraging communities with reported COVID-19 cases to enforce social distancing to limit face-to-face contact. A month later, the agency began recommending that people wear masks when near others outside of their household. These preventative measures had immediate effect in places where the virus had already taken off. For example, at Boston’s Brigham and Women’s Hospital, new COVID-19 infections
dropped by halfamong staff after a mandatory mask policy went into effect at the hospital in late March.Such measures have paid off for the broader population, too. While masks and social distancing can’t always prevent 100% of exposure to COVID-19, they can reduce the amount of viral particles a person is exposed to. They will then carry a smaller “viral load” in their systems, making them less likely to become severely ill. Researchers at Wayne State University School of Medicine who tracked the viral loads in nasal swab samples collected from hospitalized patients in Detroit
discoveredthat patients who were initially swabbed in early April had a higher viral loads than those who were initially swabbed in late April and May. Lower viral load was associated with a decreased death rate. “Social distancing measures and widespread use of face masks may have contributed to a decrease in the exposure to the virus,” the authors wrote.
3. More young people are testing positiveThe coronavirus poses a greater mortality risk to the elderly compared to younger people. Among all Americans who have tested positive for COVID-19, the CDC’scurrent best estimateis that 5.4% died and were 70 or older, 0.5% died and were between 50 and 69, and only 0.02% died and were 20-49 years old.
In the first weeks of the pandemic, the virus tore through assisted-living facilities and nursing homes, where lots of vulnerable elderly people lived. As a result, the death count skyrocketed. But over time, as the virus spread in places like bars and college campuses, the share of U.S. COVID-19 cases have skewed younger, meaning many of those becoming infected are less vulnerable to severe illness. The CDC reported
last monththat children and adults under 30 made up around 16% of COVID-19 cases in February through April, but by August, that group accounted for more than one in three cases.The number of younger people contracting the virus continues to grow, contributing to the rise in overall cases. Yet because they are less vulnerable to the virus, they are not driving up the number of deaths in tandem. (While young people are less vulnerable to COVID-19 in general, they can and do die from the disease, and can spread it to other people.)
5. Better treatmentsPharmaceutical companies have been racing to discover and produce drugs to treat COVID-19 patients since the onset of the pandemic. On Oct. 22, for example, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration officiallyapprovedthe first drug for treating COVID-19, remdesivir, which was previously being used on an emergency-only basis. The agency has allowed other treatments via emergency-use authorizations, including dexamethasone, convalescent plasma, anti-inflammatory drugs and steroid treatments. In addition, doctors now better understand how the virus behaves in the body, and have learned how to more effectively treat patients—they’re using ventilators more sparingly and positioning patients on their stomachs to facilitate breathing, for instance.
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Border city mayor asks Mexico to ban entry by US citizens as COVID-19 cases surgeJuárez Mayor Armando Cabada is asking the Mexican government to consider temporarily banning U.S. citizens from nonessential travel over the border as COVID-19 flares in the region. Good job Mexico ❤️👍 dont allow any american in mexico till trump is president because usa is infected to covid till this trump is president . Because he is purposely spreading it to kill and destroy america Oh the irony. Give the people this beautiful UPLIFTING song from the youth
New surge in covid-19 cases taking hard toll on frontline workersDr. Alex Garza discusses the record number of Covid-19 hospitalizations in Missouri and how it is impacting front-line health care workers. 'The work force is just, they're overworked, they're demoralized, it's tough right now for all of them.' LetsWinThis Johns Hopkins says we’re 51st in % deaths behind everyone at 2.6 Don't be tricked by Hollywood COVID Cult BigTech MSM DNC & BidenHarris Arizona Nevada Pennsylvania Florida Georgia NorthCarolina Michigan Minnesota Wisconsin Ohio Trump You can thank realDonaldTrump and GOP for that.
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Pandemic fatigue looms over record-high new daily COVID-19 cases - Business InsiderBusiness Insider is a fast-growing business site with deep financial, media, tech, and other industry verticals. Launched in 2007, the site is now the largest business news site on the web. HerdImmunity...bring it on! Not really an accurate take that people are too tired to care - people are turning out for Biden largely bc we want to get Covid under control Suppose we made an analytical decision that COVID is dangerous enough for the elderly or people with comorbidities that they should take extreme protective measures, but that the cost-benefit favored a return to normalcy (with masks and distancing) for everyone else...
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