Complexity and the Ten-Thousand-Hour Rule

. For example, both he and I discuss the same study by the psychologist K. Anders Ericsson that looked at students studying violin at the elite Music Academy of West Berlin. I was interested in the general finding, which was that the best violinists, on average and over time, practiced muchthan the good ones. In other words, within a group of talented people, what separated the best from the rest was how long and how intently they worked.

Epstein makes two other arguments that are worth mentioning. The first is about chess. He cites a study by Guillermo Campitelli and Fernand Gobet of a hundred and four competitive chess players. Epstein says that they found that the average time it took to reach “master” status was eleven thousand hours—but that one player reached that level in just three thousand hours. This is variation on an extreme scale.

I think that it is also a mistake to assume that the ten-thousand-hour idea applies to every domain. For instance, Epstein uses as his main counterexample the high jumper Donald Thomas, who reached world-class level after no more than a few months of the most rudimentary practice. He then quotes academic papers making similar observations about other sports—like one that showed that people could make the Australian winter Olympic team in skeleton after no more than a few hundred practice runs.

As it happens, I have been a runner and a serious track-and-field fan my entire life, and I have never seen a boy who was slow become fast either. For that matter, I’ve never met someone who thinks a boy who was slow can become fast. Epstein has written a wonderful book. But I wonder if, in his zeal to stake out a provocative claim on this one matter, he has built himself a straw man.

After 70,000 public statements: Yes. Personal libertarianism is what makes me tick. Nothing more, nothing less or different.

Just read Malcolm Gladwell's insightful article on the 10,000-Hour Rule. It's important to remember that this rule is an average and may vary for individuals or tasks. But it's undeniable that mastery in cognitively demanding fields comes with countless hours of dedication and…

btw, who came up with: 'information is the mother of intuition'?

How convenient the research landed on a nice, clean, round . Would it have resonated as well if it turned out it took 16,427 hours? Just one of the many issues…..

Many improvements happen by chance. For instance, if you look at it close, a lot of jazz and blues riffs appear to have been 'invented' from people trying to hide mistakes or solve discordant problems. Accidents often are your artistic friends.

Something these types of analyses seem to get wrong is lumping people like Bill Gates or Steve Jobs in with geniuses like Magnus Carlsen or Bobby Fischer. Bill Gates is not a computer genius. He made his fortune with business savvy, purchasing and licensing code written by others

But how long does it take to become an overrated writer and second-rate thinker who’s too pleased with himself by half and better at taking a contrarian position than ferreting out the truth?

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