China study warns of 'colossal' COVID outbreak if it opens up like U.S., France
China could face more than 630,000 COVID -19 infections a day if it dropped its zero-tolerance policies by lifting travel curbs, according to a study by Peking University mathematicians.
Using data for August from the United States, Britain, Spain, France and Israel, the mathematicians assessed the potential results if China adopted the same pandemic control tactics as those countries.Register now for FREE unlimited access to reuters.com
RegisterChina's daily new cases would reach at least 637,155 if it adopted the United States' pandemic strategy, the report said.And daily cases would hit 275,793 if China took the same approach as Britain and 454,198 if it imitated France, it said.
"The estimates revealed the real possibility of a colossal outbreak which would almost certainly induce an unaffordable burden on the medical system," the report said."Our findings have raised a clear warning that, for the time being, we are not ready to embrace 'open-up' strategies resting solely on the hypothesis of herd immunity induced by vaccination advocated by certain western countries." headtopics.com
The mathematicians cautioned that their estimates were based on basic arithmetic calculations and that more sophisticated models were needed to study the evolution of the pandemic if travel restrictions were lifted.China has maintained a zero-tolerance policy towards COVID-19, saying the importance of containing local cases when they are found outweighs the disruptions caused by efforts to trace, isolate and treat the infected.
China reported 23 new confirmed coronavirus cases for Nov. 27, down from 25 a day earlier, its health authority said on Sunday.The World Health Organization (WHO) on Friday designated a new COVID-19 variant detected in South Africa with a large number of mutations as being "of concern", prompting some countries to impose travel curbs.
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China feels like they have to preface something? To who? Covid is made in China, served into world... someone has to. remain to them! Close it up and tight forever, please. We don't care if China open or not. ‘Zero Tolerance’ for Covid-19 in China will possibly continue for another three years or even longer.
Bull crap Or a global pandemic when you run amateur biosecurity at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. They'd know. The CCP invented COVID Who cares. First remember CCP lies all the time. Second who cares. Cool. Hopefully China will stay closed...forever. They should know since they created it funded by our tax dollars are Fauci direction.
I've lost hope, China seemed so invincible to Covid, now they are looking vulnerable, fallible and human like the rest of us :( SoSad 🎻🎻🎻
China could see over 630K daily COVID infections if it drops zero-tolerance goal: study'The estimates revealed the real possibility of a colossal outbreak which would almost certainly put an unbearable burden on the medical system,' researchers revealed.
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Explainer: What we know about the COVID-19 variant detected in South AfricaGlobal authorities have reacted with alarm to a coronavirus variant detected in South Africa, with the EU, Britain and India among those announcing stricter border controls as scientists seek to determine if the mutation is vaccine-resistant. 'It's pretty bad' ADE
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Major cryptocurrencies tumble amid concern about new COVID variantMajor cryptocurrencies plunged on Friday amid a broad sell-offs of risky assets, after a new variant of COVID -19 was detected in South Africa.