Chicago Bears Q&A: Does the Kliff Kingsbury hiring indicate a possible trade of the No. 1 pick? What if Caleb Williams refused to sign?

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The Washington Commanders’ hiring of offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury sparked speculation about a trade with the Chicago Bears for the No. 1 pick to draft QB Caleb Williams.

Cardinals coach Kliff Kingsbury looks on during a game against the 49ers on Jan. 8, 2023, in Santa Clara, Calif.The NFL’s pre-draft process got into full swing last week at the Senior Bowl, and the combine is less than three weeks away.

Peters hasn’t been down this path before, but he has experienced a similar one. He was the assistant GM in San Francisco in 2021 when the 49ers mortgaged the future to trade up with the Miami Dolphins for the No. 3 pick, which they used to select North Dakota State quarterback Trey Lance.

That process is just beginning and will take a couple of months to finalize. The Bears are much further along evaluating all of the prospects as players. They’re only starting to pull back the layers to find out what makes these guys tick. I’m not convinced the Commanders hiring Kingsbury signals that they’re in hot pursuit of Williams. They have a ton of needs, and Peters is well aware of the heavy lifting required to turn around a team coming off a 4-13 season. The Commanders need to keep their draft capital and — if anything — add to it as they rebuild a roster that needs help on both lines and at cornerback, just to start with, in addition to quarterback.

“I don’t know that hiring Kingsbury is a strong indicator, or any indicator, of what direction they will go. Kliff has shown competence calling plays and he’s developed quarterbacks and there’s how many OC spots open this year? And there have not been enough qualified and experienced candidates to go around. I don’t think hiring Kingsbury is a strong indicator that they’re going to trade up to draft Caleb. There’s no way that they’ve made up their mind yet, I can promise you that.

I’d also be cautious expecting the team to “strike gold” in free agency. Remember, in many cases, players are available for a reason, and former Bears GM Ryan Pace accurately referred to free agency as “dangerous waters.” That being said, three positions I would keep an eye on are center, defensive end and tight end., but the Bears currently don’t own a second-round pick, which might be the sweet spot to get a good one.

You also can’t rule out a move at running back, but a little more than a month away from the start of free agency, I don’t know that we’ll see the Bears handing out a slew of large contracts. The Bears would retain negotiating rights with Williams until the first day of the 2025 draft. If he didn’t sign with them by then, he would be eligible to be drafted by the other 31 teams but not by the Bears. There is no compensatory pick in this situation either. So if the Bears drafted Williams and he decided to sit out a year to re-enter the draft, they wouldn’t get an extra pick in 2025 for failing to sign him.

 

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