when he looked back at presidential elections where an incumbent was running since 1940. He calculated, on average, a 7-point difference between the final national popular vote margin and the polls conducted four months out.
That might sound like a lot of movement — and it is — but the problem for Trump is even if the polls swunghim by 7 points, he would still trail Biden by about 2 to 3 points nationally. The median difference Enten found, 4.5 points, would leave Trump in even worse shape.Of course, if the polls did swing 7 points in Trump’s favor, leaving him only 2 to 3 points behind Biden nationally, Trump could still win — after all, he won in 2016 despite losing the popular vote by about 2 points.
TRUMP: FAKE NEWS!
Are these the same polls that said Hillary Clinton had a 98% chance of being president then lost two days later with 40% to Trump's 60%?
Trump still has approval ratings far higher than George Bush. Here's why (via latimesopinion
Worthless polls from a worthless news organization!
Yeah Hilliary led in the polls too. People lie to these polls.
Keep pushing this 50 year political fraud, and dreaming. You’re biased accounts of all news has deemed you irrelevant
Sure 😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣
used an untrusted source that I haven’t known. There is another tweet from said that 65% of Americans disapproved realDonaldTrump but I have never known or voted om that polls. It’s not official, so they should know how to clarify the information.
Get ready for a Trump tweet storm and fake polls emerging from Bizarro World.
Biden was a poor choice the Dems pushed to the front. I’ll never vote for a career politician again
How’s the responses coming George ? ABC - you ready to talk about your fun times on the Island with your buddies!
Yep, just like HillaryClinton was a shoo-in in 2016 smh 4MoreYears Trump2020 🇺🇸🇺🇸
Trump has entered the 'post Katrina Bush' stage where everyone just started to tune GWB out. Trump is a clown, corrupt and incompetent. Itll be a landslide for Biden.
Just likes 2016, 🇺🇸❤️Trump2016&2020❤️🇺🇸
Let’s go Biden, let’s go Biden, blue blue blue blue, blue blue blue.
A poll, you say? Where have I heard this before?
Like Hillary had last time?
No, no, noooo. You. can't be trusted. Sorry but true.
FakeNews msmlies
Hahahaha 😂🤣😂 ..... ok
End Trump government!!
I don’t believe that
Because America overall is sick of being lead by a moron. Republican or Democrat doesn’t matter this November, it’s America vs. Trump.
Sure ABC lol Trump will crush the Drooling stooge Biden in the General election because polls don't vote people do .
Does not mean anything to me, look at 2016. Polls are just that, POLLS.
What do real Polls say?
Wait until Biden backs out of the debates.
Sure it has. How are those fundraising amount looking like?
Im laughing
'Joe Biden’s lead over Pres. Trump has been both incredibly stable and unusually large.' Just like your fabricated story.
God a choice between Trump and Biden - a choice between Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum or Dumb and Dumber? Pity the Americans couldn’t vote for Judge Judy - Christ at least she is smart strong and savvy
I refuse to believe the American people are this stupid.
Ignore the polls, Nov 3 is all that matters.
Just imagine everyone would just ignore Trump. He would have no audience for his absurd ego trip.
Source: The Ministry Of Truth
So was Hillary’s. How did that work out. Take a poll, ask how many people think Biden has some form of dementia. Then publish the results. Unless they don’t fit your narrative
I don't know the chances of a Biden victory, maybe they're good, but I would've thought after 2016, the supporters of any candidate running against Trump would've learned that none of you are trustworthy when it comes to polls.
Fake news, start including Jo Jorgensen in your polls.
Wow..looks like it's in the bag. Marxist Democrat Socialism fronted by a dementia patient, meat puppet is a winner! Who knew? Biden2020 😕
the silent majority is getting angrier by the minute, you just watch what happens at the polls, we get what we want the civil way.
🙏🙏🙏👍👍
idk i just hope trump's orange self wont win
Yeah right, we don't trust polls, Hillary had this and lost, how could Biden win if he said 'You An'it Black', be accused by Tara Reade and has no VP yet either?
Hillary Clinton has a 98% chance to win election - ABC NEWS 😂
Biden? Who's he? Where's he? Dude has virtually vanished off the earth and magically has a lead in the totally manufactured polls. Holy shit it's 'Hillary at 99%' again and you idiots will be shocked when he loses like she did.
Polls lie. We all know that after 2016. But thats not as bad as ABC. They shutdown stories about Epstein. That's way worse.
Which is why Trump will incessantly try and sow doubt about mail-in voting between now and November. soreloser
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