Graham Ashcraft was a pitcher who received a ton of preseason hype as he looked to have made great strides in Spring Training. Well, he’s finally shown off some of that potential over his last four starts and has been lights-out and working deep into games.
Ashcraft has gone at least seven innings in each of his last four starts, and while he’s certainly turned his season around, what we have seen is an outlier. The numbers are well in support of that statement as Ascraft has finished the sixth inning in just six of his last 25 starts overall, and four of the sixth have come this month.The implied odds are staggering at -316, which gives us line value even on this heavily juiced price. However, Ashcraft also has a tough matchup this afternoon and will be on the road in Arizona.
Chase Field is one of the better hitting environments on the slate today, and the D’backs are a team that has proven they can mash while not striking out often. So, look for them to send Ashcraft to the showers early as he regresses to his mean.
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